Harris
$2,060,167 Vol.
$2,060,167 Vol.
Oct 27, 2024
This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris.
The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8).
If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris.
The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8).
If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.
The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8).
If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.
생성일: Aug 21, 2024, 12:41 PM ET
볼륨
$2,060,167종료일
Oct 27, 2024생성일
Aug 21, 2024, 12:41 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: Harris
이의 없음
최종 결과: Harris
Harris
$2,060,167 Vol.
$2,060,167 Vol.
Oct 27, 2024
This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris.
The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8).
If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris.
The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8).
If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.
The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8).
If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris".
If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".
If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.
If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.
볼륨
$2,060,167종료일
Oct 27, 2024생성일
Aug 21, 2024, 12:41 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: Harris
이의 없음
최종 결과: Harris
외부 링크를 조심하십시오.
외부 링크를 조심하십시오.
Frequently Asked Questions
"If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 21, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?" is "If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.
외부 링크를 조심하십시오.
Frequently Asked Questions