Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?
$71,412 Vol.
$71,412 Vol.
Nov 30, 2023
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.
생성일: Nov 16, 2023, 12:13 PM ET
볼륨
$71,412종료일
Nov 30, 2023생성일
Nov 16, 2023, 12:13 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?
$71,412 Vol.
$71,412 Vol.
Nov 30, 2023
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.
On Nov 11, 2023 Iceland declared a state of emergency after an intense string of earthquakes linked to a possible future volcanic eruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland has a volcanic eruption between Nov 15 and Nov 30, 11:59 PM Iceland Time (UTC + 0). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be a consensus of media reporting as to whether an eruption occurred.
볼륨
$71,412종료일
Nov 30, 2023생성일
Nov 16, 2023, 12:13 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
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Frequently Asked Questions
"Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?" has generated $71.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 16, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions