Market icon

Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

Market icon

Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$991,254 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$991,254 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Republican ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the official Republican nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Note that whether Trump-Vance are on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the Republican nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Republican party (e.g. https://gop.com/, etc.).
音量
$991,254
終了日
Nov 4, 2024
マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2024, 4:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Republican ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official Republican nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Note that whether Trump-Vance are on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the Republican nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Republican party (e.g. https://gop.com/, etc.).

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Republican ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the official Republican nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Note that whether Trump-Vance are on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the Republican nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Republican party (e.g. https://gop.com/, etc.).
音量
$991,254
終了日
Nov 4, 2024
マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2024, 4:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Republican ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official Republican nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Note that whether Trump-Vance are on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the Republican nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Republican party (e.g. https://gop.com/, etc.).

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。例えば、「はい」が100¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を100%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?」は$991.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 6, 2024のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を100%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。