Traders show near-certain consensus at 99.2% against Iran claiming responsibility for the October 1 knife attack on Israel's embassy in Oslo, where a 21-year-old Norwegian-Pakistani suspect injured two staffers while shouting "Free Palestine." Norwegian police investigations point to a lone actor radicalized online via Islamist extremism, with no evidence of foreign backing, Iranian proxies, or state sponsorship emerging in initial probes or arrests. Iran's official silence aligns with its pattern of avoiding unattributed attacks amid broader Israel tensions, including recent missile barrages and diplomatic escalations elsewhere. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise intelligence revelations linking Tehran, though ongoing Oslo inquiries show no such trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$295,708 Vol.
$295,708 Vol.
はい
$295,708 Vol.
$295,708 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ET
音量
$295,708マーケット開始日
Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$295,708マーケット開始日
Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders show near-certain consensus at 99.2% against Iran claiming responsibility for the October 1 knife attack on Israel's embassy in Oslo, where a 21-year-old Norwegian-Pakistani suspect injured two staffers while shouting "Free Palestine." Norwegian police investigations point to a lone actor radicalized online via Islamist extremism, with no evidence of foreign backing, Iranian proxies, or state sponsorship emerging in initial probes or arrests. Iran's official silence aligns with its pattern of avoiding unattributed attacks amid broader Israel tensions, including recent missile barrages and diplomatic escalations elsewhere. Realistic shifts could stem from surprise intelligence revelations linking Tehran, though ongoing Oslo inquiries show no such trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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