Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects persistent upward pressure on ground beef prices from historic cattle herd contraction—the lowest U.S. inventory in 75 years—driving retail averages to $6.74 per pound for 100% beef in February 2026 per BLS data, up modestly from late 2025. The March 20 USDA Cattle on Feed report confirmed a 0.3% year-over-year inventory dip to 11.55 million head on March 1, with February placements rising 4% to 1.61 million amid steady marketings, signaling no near-term supply relief. USDA's latest outlook projects 2026 beef production down 2% to 25.81 billion pounds, bolstering price support as demand holds firm. Key catalysts ahead include the April 18 Cattle on Feed release and monthly WASDE updates, which could shift supply expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
7.000ドル以上
84%
8.000ドル以上
48%
$9.000以上
31%
10.000ドル以上
28%
$62 Vol.
7.000ドル以上
$1 Vol.
84%
8.000ドル以上
$54 Vol.
48%
$9.000以上
$3 Vol.
31%
10.000ドル以上
$3 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects persistent upward pressure on ground beef prices from historic cattle herd contraction—the lowest U.S. inventory in 75 years—driving retail averages to $6.74 per pound for 100% beef in February 2026 per BLS data, up modestly from late 2025. The March 20 USDA Cattle on Feed report confirmed a 0.3% year-over-year inventory dip to 11.55 million head on March 1, with February placements rising 4% to 1.61 million amid steady marketings, signaling no near-term supply relief. USDA's latest outlook projects 2026 beef production down 2% to 25.81 billion pounds, bolstering price support as demand holds firm. Key catalysts ahead include the April 18 Cattle on Feed release and monthly WASDE updates, which could shift supply expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$62終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects persistent upward pressure on ground beef prices from historic cattle herd contraction—the lowest U.S. inventory in 75 years—driving retail averages to $6.74 per pound for 100% beef in February 2026 per BLS data, up modestly from late 2025. The March 20 USDA Cattle on Feed report confirmed a 0.3% year-over-year inventory dip to 11.55 million head on March 1, with February placements rising 4% to 1.61 million amid steady marketings, signaling no near-term supply relief. USDA's latest outlook projects 2026 beef production down 2% to 25.81 billion pounds, bolstering price support as demand holds firm. Key catalysts ahead include the April 18 Cattle on Feed release and monthly WASDE updates, which could shift supply expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$62終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects persistent upward pressure on ground beef prices from historic cattle herd contraction—the lowest U.S. inventory in 75 years—driving retail averages to $6.74 per pound for 100% beef in February 2026 per BLS data, up modestly from late 2025. The March 20 USDA Cattle on Feed report confirmed a 0.3% year-over-year inventory dip to 11.55 million head on March 1, with February placements rising 4% to 1.61 million amid steady marketings, signaling no near-term supply relief. USDA's latest outlook projects 2026 beef production down 2% to 25.81 billion pounds, bolstering price support as demand holds firm. Key catalysts ahead include the April 18 Cattle on Feed release and monthly WASDE updates, which could shift supply expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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