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Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?

Market icon

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?

$4,338,165 Vol.

Jun 30, 2025
Polymarket

$4,338,165 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$800,022 Vol.

No

July 4

$1,128,799 Vol.

No

July 31

$1,213,549 Vol.

Yes

December 31

$1,195,795 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly announces the formation of a new political party by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must be explicit and clearly state that the new political party is being launched or formed. Statements merely expressing support for the idea of a new party, or alignment with specific political ideologies or other statements which do not constitute the official launch of a new political party will not qualify. The resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「July 31」で100%、次いで「December 31」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?」は$4.3 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「July 31」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「December 31」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will Elon Musk create a new political party by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。