President Trump formally nominated former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as next Federal Reserve Chair on March 4, 2026, to succeed Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, driving Warsh's overwhelming 95.5% trader consensus as the sole official nominee with broad establishment credentials from his 2006–2011 board tenure. The White House announcement followed Trump's January 30 intent signal, narrowing speculation amid no viable rivals. Despite Sen. Thom Tillis's holdout linking confirmation to dropping a DOJ probe into Powell, recent reports note procedural momentum in the GOP-led Senate toward hearings and floor vote. Realistic challenges include prolonged investigation delays, Epstein-related scrutiny from Sen. Elizabeth Warren, or geopolitical shocks like Iran tensions forcing withdrawal or Powell extension.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ケビン・ウォーシュ 95.5%
ジュディ・シェルトン 1.7%
ミシェル・ボウマン 1.1%
リック・リーダー <1%
$14,893,449 Vol.
$14,893,449 Vol.
ケビン・ウォーシュ
96%
ジュディ・シェルトン
2%
ケビン・ハセット
<1%
クリストファー・ウォラー
<1%
ジェローム・パウエル
<1%
スティーブン・ミラン
<1%
スコット・ベセント
<1%
リック・リーダー
1%
ミシェル・ボウマン
1%
ケビン・ウォーシュ 95.5%
ジュディ・シェルトン 1.7%
ミシェル・ボウマン 1.1%
リック・リーダー <1%
$14,893,449 Vol.
$14,893,449 Vol.
ケビン・ウォーシュ
96%
ジュディ・シェルトン
2%
ケビン・ハセット
<1%
クリストファー・ウォラー
<1%
ジェローム・パウエル
<1%
スティーブン・ミラン
<1%
スコット・ベセント
<1%
リック・リーダー
1%
ミシェル・ボウマン
1%
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump formally nominated former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as next Federal Reserve Chair on March 4, 2026, to succeed Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, driving Warsh's overwhelming 95.5% trader consensus as the sole official nominee with broad establishment credentials from his 2006–2011 board tenure. The White House announcement followed Trump's January 30 intent signal, narrowing speculation amid no viable rivals. Despite Sen. Thom Tillis's holdout linking confirmation to dropping a DOJ probe into Powell, recent reports note procedural momentum in the GOP-led Senate toward hearings and floor vote. Realistic challenges include prolonged investigation delays, Epstein-related scrutiny from Sen. Elizabeth Warren, or geopolitical shocks like Iran tensions forcing withdrawal or Powell extension.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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