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政治·トランプ

FRB議長に任命されるのは誰ですか？

Market icon
政治·トランプ

FRB議長に任命されるのは誰ですか？

ケビン・ウォーシュ 94.8%

ジュディ・シェルトン 1.8%

ミシェル・ボウマン 1.3%

リック・リーダー <1%

Polymarket

$14,406,967 Vol.

ケビン・ウォーシュ 94.8%

ジュディ・シェルトン 1.8%

ミシェル・ボウマン 1.3%

リック・リーダー <1%

Polymarket

$14,406,967 Vol.

ケビン・ウォーシュ

$2,538,241 Vol.

95%

ジュディ・シェルトン

$6,691,661 Vol.

2%

ケビン・ハセット

$512,575 Vol.

<1%

クリストファー・ウォラー

$472,043 Vol.

<1%

ジェローム・パウエル

$717,439 Vol.

<1%

スティーブン・ミラン

$474,590 Vol.

<1%

スコット・ベセント

$1,353,532 Vol.

<1%

リック・リーダー

$521,703 Vol.

1%

ミシェル・ボウマン

$1,125,957 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh on March 4 as next Fed Chair drives his dominant 94.8% trader consensus, bolstered by his prior board experience and alignment with administration priorities ahead of Jerome Powell's May 15 term end. Recent Capitol Hill meetings by Warsh have advanced his case despite Sen. Thom Tillis's hold pending DOJ resolution of a criminal probe into Powell, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren's recent letters criticizing Warsh's 2008 crisis record as favoring Wall Street while probing Epstein ties. With Republican Senate majority control, historical confirmation patterns for presidential Fed picks underpin optimism. Realistic challenges include prolonged impasse enabling recess appointment, probe escalation eroding GOP support, or amplified scandals prompting withdrawal.

President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh on March 4 as next Fed Chair drives his dominant 94.8% trader consensus, bolstered by his prior board experience and alignment with administration priorities ahead of Jerome Powell's May 15 term end. Recent Capitol Hill meetings by Warsh have advanced his case despite Sen. Thom Tillis's hold pending DOJ resolution of a criminal probe into Powell, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren's recent letters criticizing Warsh's 2008 crisis record as favoring Wall Street while probing Epstein ties. With Republican Senate majority control, historical confirmation patterns for presidential Fed picks underpin optimism. Realistic challenges include prolonged impasse enabling recess appointment, probe escalation eroding GOP support, or amplified scandals prompting withdrawal.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh on March 4 as next Fed Chair drives his dominant 94.8% trader consensus, bolstered by his prior board experience and alignment with administration priorities ahead of Jerome Powell's May 15 term end. Recent Capitol Hill meetings by Warsh have advanced his case despite Sen. Thom Tillis's hold pending DOJ resolution of a criminal probe into Powell, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren's recent letters criticizing Warsh's 2008 crisis record as favoring Wall Street while probing Epstein ties. With Republican Senate majority control, historical confirmation patterns for presidential Fed picks underpin optimism. Realistic challenges include prolonged impasse enabling recess appointment, probe escalation eroding GOP support, or amplified scandals prompting withdrawal.

President Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh on March 4 as next Fed Chair drives his dominant 94.8% trader consensus, bolstered by his prior board experience and alignment with administration priorities ahead of Jerome Powell's May 15 term end. Recent Capitol Hill meetings by Warsh have advanced his case despite Sen. Thom Tillis's hold pending DOJ resolution of a criminal probe into Powell, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren's recent letters criticizing Warsh's 2008 crisis record as favoring Wall Street while probing Epstein ties. With Republican Senate majority control, historical confirmation patterns for presidential Fed picks underpin optimism. Realistic challenges include prolonged impasse enabling recess appointment, probe escalation eroding GOP support, or amplified scandals prompting withdrawal.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「FRB議長に任命されるのは誰ですか？」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ケビン・ウォーシュ」で95%、次いで「ジュディ・シェルトン」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、95¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「FRB議長に任命されるのは誰ですか？」は$14.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 4, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「FRB議長に任命されるのは誰ですか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「FRB議長に任命されるのは誰ですか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ケビン・ウォーシュ」で95%であり、市場がこの結果に95%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジュディ・シェルトン」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「FRB議長に任命されるのは誰ですか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。