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Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?

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Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?

$6,686,490 Vol.

2025/06/30
Polymarket

$6,686,490 Vol.

Polymarket

China

$376,494 Vol.

Yes

India

$485,051 Vol.

No

European Union

$792,209 Vol.

No

Japan

$532,685 Vol.

No

Canada

$548,798 Vol.

No

Mexico

$288,361 Vol.

No

South Korea

$861,231 Vol.

No

Vietnam

$504,367 Vol.

No

Australia

$451,521 Vol.

No

United Kingdom

$330,585 Vol.

Yes

Germany

$166,599 Vol.

No

France

$176,842 Vol.

No

Brazil

$122,199 Vol.

No

Argentina

$389,256 Vol.

No

Israel

$660,292 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
音量
$6,686,490
終了日
2025/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2025, 4:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
音量
$6,686,490
終了日
2025/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2025, 4:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「China」で100%、次いで「United Kingdom」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?」は$6.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 14, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?」の現在のフロントランナーは「China」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「United Kingdom」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before July?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。