Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$178,975 Vol.
$178,975 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025

Yes

OpenAI
No

Z.ai
No

DeepSeek
No

Mistral
No

Anthropic
No

Alibaba
No

xAI
No

Moonshot
No

Meituan
No
Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$178,975 Vol.
$178,975 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025

$36,131 Vol.
Yes

OpenAI
$16,559 Vol.
No

Z.ai
$20,309 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$12,021 Vol.
No

Mistral
$9,585 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$12,994 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$10,496 Vol.
No

xAI
$38,202 Vol.
No

Moonshot
$10,796 Vol.
No

Meituan
$11,881 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
音量
$178,975終了日
Dec 31, 2025マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions