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What will Trump say during his RNC speech?

Market icon

What will Trump say during his RNC speech?

$800,832 Vol.

Jul 18, 2024
Polymarket

$800,832 Vol.

Polymarket

Crypto/Bitcoin

$162,788 Vol.

No

Ear

$123,061 Vol.

Yes

Secret Service

$25,509 Vol.

Yes

Unity

$88,896 Vol.

Yes

Jesus

$15,269 Vol.

No

Barron

$44,098 Vol.

Yes

Fake News

$23,582 Vol.

No

Hillbilly

$17,088 Vol.

No

Crack

$29,544 Vol.

No

Hunter

$13,145 Vol.

No

Jail/Prison

$91,471 Vol.

Yes

Dementia

$17,003 Vol.

No

Jew

$10,867 Vol.

No

January 6

$7,823 Vol.

No

MAGA

$77,289 Vol.

Yes

Felon

$2,658 Vol.

No

Hitler

$11,722 Vol.

No

Rigged

$13,702 Vol.

No

God

$25,318 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto", "cryptocurrency", "Bitcoin", or "BTC" at any point during any speech Donald Trump gives on the final day of the 2024 Republican National Convention (RNC). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no speech happens on that day, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the words regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).

The resolution source is live video of the speech. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
音量
$800,832
終了日
Jul 18, 2024
マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2024, 5:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto", "cryptocurrency", "Bitcoin", or "BTC" at any point during any speech Donald Trump gives on the final day of the 2024 Republican National Convention (RNC). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no speech happens on that day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the words regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). The resolution source is live video of the speech. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during his RNC speech?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ear" at 100%, followed by "Secret Service" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during his RNC speech?" has generated $800.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 16, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during his RNC speech?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during his RNC speech?" is "Ear" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Secret Service" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during his RNC speech?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.