Market icon

イーロン・マスクは2026年3月3日から3月10日までツイートしていますか?

Market icon

イーロン・マスクは2026年3月3日から3月10日までツイートしていますか?

300~319 22.1%

320〜339 19.6%

280〜299 17%

340〜359 11.5%

Polymarket

$9,503,406 Vol.

300~319 22.1%

320〜339 19.6%

280〜299 17%

340〜359 11.5%

Polymarket

$9,503,406 Vol.

120〜139

$431,394 Vol.

<1%

140〜159

$506,762 Vol.

<1%

160〜179

$501,068 Vol.

<1%

180~199

$515,141 Vol.

<1%

200~219

$422,912 Vol.

<1%

220~239

$385,166 Vol.

3%

240~259

$306,028 Vol.

6%

260〜279

$297,983 Vol.

10%

280〜299

$266,509 Vol.

17%

300~319

$304,667 Vol.

22%

320〜339

$262,553 Vol.

20%

340〜359

$214,369 Vol.

12%

360~379

$211,548 Vol.

6%

380〜399

$170,937 Vol.

3%

400〜419

$168,109 Vol.

2%

420〜439

$155,620 Vol.

1%

440~459

$150,682 Vol.

<1%

460~479

$188,414 Vol.

<1%

480〜499

$252,816 Vol.

<1%

500〜519

$248,655 Vol.

<1%

520〜539

$256,932 Vol.

<1%

540〜559

$300,543 Vol.

<1%

560〜579

$306,600 Vol.

<1%

580以上

$336,885 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 3 12:00 PM ET to March 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$9,503,406
終了日
Mar 10, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 3 12:00 PM ET to March 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"イーロン・マスクは2026年3月3日から3月10日までツイートしていますか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "300~319" at 22%, followed by "320〜339" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "イーロン・マスクは2026年3月3日から3月10日までツイートしていますか?" has generated $9.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "イーロン・マスクは2026年3月3日から3月10日までツイートしていますか?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "イーロン・マスクは2026年3月3日から3月10日までツイートしていますか?" is "300~319" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "320〜339" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "イーロン・マスクは2026年3月3日から3月10日までツイートしていますか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.