The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting—the second consecutive hold—amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation for February and a weakening labor market, with unemployment ticking up to 4.4% and an unexpected 92,000 payroll job losses. FOMC dot plot projections show a median one 25-basis-point cut in 2026 to around 3.4% by year-end, easing further toward 2.6% in 2027, while CME FedWatch futures imply a flatter path near 3.7% through early 2027, reflecting trader caution on persistent service-sector price pressures. Polymarket sentiment aggregates real-capital bets pricing modest rate declines before 2027, with key catalysts including March CPI on April 10, nonfarm payrolls April 4, and the April 28-29 FOMC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
$1,266,137 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 5.5％
4%
↑ 5.25％
6%
↑ 5.0％
3%
↑ 4.75％
4%
↑ 4.5％
5%
↑ 4.25％
10%
↓ 3.25％
64%
↓ 3.0％
35%
↓ 2.75％
20%
↓2.5%
15%
↓ 2.25％
11%
↓ 2.0％
13%
↓ 1.75％
9%
↓ 1.5％
12%
↓ 1.25％
26%
↓ 1.0％
10%
↓ 0.75％
9%
↓ 0.5％
6%
↓ 0.25％
7%
↓ 0％
6%
$1,266,137 Vol.
↑ 5.5％
$42,156 Vol.
4%
↑ 5.25％
$135,436 Vol.
6%
↑ 5.0％
$9,683 Vol.
3%
↑ 4.75％
$64,640 Vol.
4%
↑ 4.5％
$9,813 Vol.
5%
↑ 4.25％
$21,642 Vol.
10%
↓ 3.25％
$52,587 Vol.
64%
↓ 3.0％
$214,644 Vol.
35%
↓ 2.75％
$250,226 Vol.
20%
↓2.5%
$171,356 Vol.
15%
↓ 2.25％
$21,904 Vol.
11%
↓ 2.0％
$14,496 Vol.
13%
↓ 1.75％
$5,943 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.5％
$24,836 Vol.
12%
↓ 1.25％
$893 Vol.
26%
↓ 1.0％
$0 Vol.
10%
↓ 0.75％
$388 Vol.
9%
↓ 0.5％
$89,217 Vol.
6%
↓ 0.25％
$117,158 Vol.
7%
↓ 0％
$10,116 Vol.
6%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting—the second consecutive hold—amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation for February and a weakening labor market, with unemployment ticking up to 4.4% and an unexpected 92,000 payroll job losses. FOMC dot plot projections show a median one 25-basis-point cut in 2026 to around 3.4% by year-end, easing further toward 2.6% in 2027, while CME FedWatch futures imply a flatter path near 3.7% through early 2027, reflecting trader caution on persistent service-sector price pressures. Polymarket sentiment aggregates real-capital bets pricing modest rate declines before 2027, with key catalysts including March CPI on April 10, nonfarm payrolls April 4, and the April 28-29 FOMC.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
マーケット開始日： Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
音量
$1,266,137終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting—the second consecutive hold—amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation for February and a weakening labor market, with unemployment ticking up to 4.4% and an unexpected 92,000 payroll job losses. FOMC dot plot projections show a median one 25-basis-point cut in 2026 to around 3.4% by year-end, easing further toward 2.6% in 2027, while CME FedWatch futures imply a flatter path near 3.7% through early 2027, reflecting trader caution on persistent service-sector price pressures. Polymarket sentiment aggregates real-capital bets pricing modest rate declines before 2027, with key catalysts including March CPI on April 10, nonfarm payrolls April 4, and the April 28-29 FOMC.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
音量
$1,266,137終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting—the second consecutive hold—amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation for February and a weakening labor market, with unemployment ticking up to 4.4% and an unexpected 92,000 payroll job losses. FOMC dot plot projections show a median one 25-basis-point cut in 2026 to around 3.4% by year-end, easing further toward 2.6% in 2027, while CME FedWatch futures imply a flatter path near 3.7% through early 2027, reflecting trader caution on persistent service-sector price pressures. Polymarket sentiment aggregates real-capital bets pricing modest rate declines before 2027, with key catalysts including March CPI on April 10, nonfarm payrolls April 4, and the April 28-29 FOMC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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