The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting solid economic expansion, February CPI inflation at 2.4%, and unemployment at 4.4%, though job gains slowed. The latest dot plot projects a median rate of 3.4% by end-2026 and low-3% by 2027 amid expectations of one 25-basis-point cut this year, tempered by rising oil prices stoking inflation fears—CME FedWatch now implies over 50% odds of a year-end hike in some scenarios. Traders weigh this against sticky services inflation; key catalysts include the April 29-30 FOMC, upcoming March CPI data, and nonfarm payrolls, which could shift market-implied rate paths before 2027 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
$1,274,993 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 5.5％
4%
↑ 5.25％
5%
↑ 5.0％
3%
↑ 4.75％
4%
↑ 4.5％
6%
↑ 4.25％
9%
↓ 3.25％
71%
↓ 3.0％
35%
↓ 2.75％
19%
↓2.5%
19%
↓ 2.25％
11%
↓ 2.0％
11%
↓ 1.75％
9%
↓ 1.5％
9%
↓ 1.25％
26%
↓ 1.0％
9%
↓ 0.75％
8%
↓ 0.5％
5%
↓ 0.25％
6%
↓ 0％
7%
$1,274,993 Vol.
↑ 5.5％
$43,011 Vol.
4%
↑ 5.25％
$136,294 Vol.
5%
↑ 5.0％
$10,055 Vol.
3%
↑ 4.75％
$65,847 Vol.
4%
↑ 4.5％
$10,462 Vol.
6%
↑ 4.25％
$21,882 Vol.
9%
↓ 3.25％
$53,714 Vol.
71%
↓ 3.0％
$215,939 Vol.
35%
↓ 2.75％
$250,425 Vol.
19%
↓2.5%
$172,087 Vol.
19%
↓ 2.25％
$21,904 Vol.
11%
↓ 2.0％
$15,041 Vol.
11%
↓ 1.75％
$5,983 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.5％
$24,836 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.25％
$893 Vol.
26%
↓ 1.0％
$0 Vol.
9%
↓ 0.75％
$388 Vol.
8%
↓ 0.5％
$89,265 Vol.
5%
↓ 0.25％
$117,777 Vol.
6%
↓ 0％
$10,187 Vol.
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting solid economic expansion, February CPI inflation at 2.4%, and unemployment at 4.4%, though job gains slowed. The latest dot plot projects a median rate of 3.4% by end-2026 and low-3% by 2027 amid expectations of one 25-basis-point cut this year, tempered by rising oil prices stoking inflation fears—CME FedWatch now implies over 50% odds of a year-end hike in some scenarios. Traders weigh this against sticky services inflation; key catalysts include the April 29-30 FOMC, upcoming March CPI data, and nonfarm payrolls, which could shift market-implied rate paths before 2027 resolution.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
マーケット開始日： Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
音量
$1,274,993終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting solid economic expansion, February CPI inflation at 2.4%, and unemployment at 4.4%, though job gains slowed. The latest dot plot projects a median rate of 3.4% by end-2026 and low-3% by 2027 amid expectations of one 25-basis-point cut this year, tempered by rising oil prices stoking inflation fears—CME FedWatch now implies over 50% odds of a year-end hike in some scenarios. Traders weigh this against sticky services inflation; key catalysts include the April 29-30 FOMC, upcoming March CPI data, and nonfarm payrolls, which could shift market-implied rate paths before 2027 resolution.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
音量
$1,274,993終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting solid economic expansion, February CPI inflation at 2.4%, and unemployment at 4.4%, though job gains slowed. The latest dot plot projects a median rate of 3.4% by end-2026 and low-3% by 2027 amid expectations of one 25-basis-point cut this year, tempered by rising oil prices stoking inflation fears—CME FedWatch now implies over 50% odds of a year-end hike in some scenarios. Traders weigh this against sticky services inflation; key catalysts include the April 29-30 FOMC, upcoming March CPI data, and nonfarm payrolls, which could shift market-implied rate paths before 2027 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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