The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the effective rate steady around 3.64%. The updated dot plot shows median projections for one 25-basis-point cut in 2026—to 3.25%-3.50% by year-end—and further easing to the low-3% range by end-2027, amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation in February and a slight dip in unemployment to 4.3% in March. However, spiking oil prices from Iran-related geopolitical tensions have tempered market-implied cut probabilities via CME FedWatch, now below 25% for any 2026 action. Traders eye the April 28-29 FOMC for a likely hold, followed by March CPI on April 10 and June projections update as key catalysts shaping the path to sub-3.5% rates before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
$1,275,305 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 5.5％
4%
↑ 5.25％
5%
↑ 5.0％
4%
↑ 4.75％
4%
↑ 4.5％
6%
↑ 4.25％
10%
↓ 3.25％
55%
↓ 3.0％
35%
↓ 2.75％
19%
↓2.5%
17%
↓ 2.25％
11%
↓ 2.0％
11%
↓ 1.75％
9%
↓ 1.5％
9%
↓ 1.25％
26%
↓ 1.0％
9%
↓ 0.75％
9%
↓ 0.5％
5%
↓ 0.25％
6%
↓ 0％
7%
$1,275,305 Vol.
↑ 5.5％
$43,011 Vol.
4%
↑ 5.25％
$136,294 Vol.
5%
↑ 5.0％
$10,055 Vol.
4%
↑ 4.75％
$65,847 Vol.
4%
↑ 4.5％
$10,522 Vol.
6%
↑ 4.25％
$21,897 Vol.
10%
↓ 3.25％
$53,760 Vol.
55%
↓ 3.0％
$215,939 Vol.
35%
↓ 2.75％
$250,453 Vol.
19%
↓2.5%
$172,171 Vol.
17%
↓ 2.25％
$21,904 Vol.
11%
↓ 2.0％
$15,041 Vol.
11%
↓ 1.75％
$5,983 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.5％
$24,836 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.25％
$893 Vol.
26%
↓ 1.0％
$0 Vol.
9%
↓ 0.75％
$388 Vol.
9%
↓ 0.5％
$89,265 Vol.
5%
↓ 0.25％
$117,854 Vol.
6%
↓ 0％
$10,187 Vol.
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the effective rate steady around 3.64%. The updated dot plot shows median projections for one 25-basis-point cut in 2026—to 3.25%-3.50% by year-end—and further easing to the low-3% range by end-2027, amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation in February and a slight dip in unemployment to 4.3% in March. However, spiking oil prices from Iran-related geopolitical tensions have tempered market-implied cut probabilities via CME FedWatch, now below 25% for any 2026 action. Traders eye the April 28-29 FOMC for a likely hold, followed by March CPI on April 10 and June projections update as key catalysts shaping the path to sub-3.5% rates before 2027.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
マーケット開始日： Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
音量
$1,275,305終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the effective rate steady around 3.64%. The updated dot plot shows median projections for one 25-basis-point cut in 2026—to 3.25%-3.50% by year-end—and further easing to the low-3% range by end-2027, amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation in February and a slight dip in unemployment to 4.3% in March. However, spiking oil prices from Iran-related geopolitical tensions have tempered market-implied cut probabilities via CME FedWatch, now below 25% for any 2026 action. Traders eye the April 28-29 FOMC for a likely hold, followed by March CPI on April 10 and June projections update as key catalysts shaping the path to sub-3.5% rates before 2027.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
音量
$1,275,305終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the effective rate steady around 3.64%. The updated dot plot shows median projections for one 25-basis-point cut in 2026—to 3.25%-3.50% by year-end—and further easing to the low-3% range by end-2027, amid steady 2.4% year-over-year CPI inflation in February and a slight dip in unemployment to 4.3% in March. However, spiking oil prices from Iran-related geopolitical tensions have tempered market-implied cut probabilities via CME FedWatch, now below 25% for any 2026 action. Traders eye the April 28-29 FOMC for a likely hold, followed by March CPI on April 10 and June projections update as key catalysts shaping the path to sub-3.5% rates before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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