Market icon
エコノミー·ジェローム・パウエル

2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？

Market icon
エコノミー·ジェローム・パウエル

2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？

$1,277,592 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$1,277,592 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 5.5％

$43,020 Vol.

4%

↑ 5.25％

$136,294 Vol.

5%

↑ 5.0％

$10,055 Vol.

3%

↑ 4.75％

$65,847 Vol.

4%

↑ 4.5％

$10,972 Vol.

5%

↑ 4.25％

$22,184 Vol.

10%

↓ 3.25％

$53,849 Vol.

56%

↓ 3.0％

$216,065 Vol.

34%

↓ 2.75％

$250,453 Vol.

19%

↓2.5%

$172,194 Vol.

16%

↓ 2.25％

$22,791 Vol.

7%

↓ 2.0％

$15,062 Vol.

8%

↓ 1.75％

$5,983 Vol.

9%

↓ 1.5％

$24,836 Vol.

9%

↓ 1.25％

$893 Vol.

24%

↓ 1.0％

$0 Vol.

9%

↓ 0.75％

$388 Vol.

8%

↓ 0.5％

$89,298 Vol.

7%

↓ 0.25％

$118,185 Vol.

7%

↓ 0％

$10,220 Vol.

8%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting steady inflation at 2.4% year-over-year CPI through February and a resilient labor market, where unemployment dipped to 4.3% in March amid 178,000 nonfarm payroll additions. CME FedWatch tool implies near-100% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with trader consensus pricing just one 25 basis point cut in 2026 per the latest dot plot, targeting low-3% by end-2027 amid oil price volatility. Key catalysts include March CPI release on April 10 and subsequent data on wage growth and consumer spending, which could shift market-implied rate paths versus official guidance.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
音量
$1,277,592
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting steady inflation at 2.4% year-over-year CPI through February and a resilient labor market, where unemployment dipped to 4.3% in March amid 178,000 nonfarm payroll additions. CME FedWatch tool implies near-100% probability of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with trader consensus pricing just one 25 basis point cut in 2026 per the latest dot plot, targeting low-3% by end-2027 amid oil price volatility. Key catalysts include March CPI release on April 10 and subsequent data on wage growth and consumer spending, which could shift market-implied rate paths versus official guidance.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
音量
$1,277,592
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」はPolymarket上の21個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↓ 3.5％」で100%、次いで「↓ 3.25％」が56%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」は$1.3 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている21個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「↓ 3.5％」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↓ 3.25％」で56%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。