The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for its second consecutive meeting following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC decision, reflecting trader consensus on a resilient U.S. economy amid sticky inflation at 2.4% year-over-year in February CPI data. Stronger-than-expected March nonfarm payrolls, adding 178,000 jobs versus forecasts near 60,000, and unemployment dipping to 4.3% have tempered near-term rate cut expectations, with CME FedWatch implying low probabilities of easing before the April 28-29 meeting. Polymarket traders aggregate similar sentiment, pricing modest further declines—potentially to the low-3% range by 2027 per the Fed's March dot plot—while upcoming March CPI on April 10 and labor data will be pivotal catalysts influencing the path to resolution before year-end 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
2027年までにFRB金利はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
$1,277,739 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 5.5％
4%
↑ 5.25％
5%
↑ 5.0％
3%
↑ 4.75％
4%
↑ 4.5％
5%
↑ 4.25％
9%
↓ 3.25％
62%
↓ 3.0％
34%
↓ 2.75％
19%
↓2.5%
16%
↓ 2.25％
7%
↓ 2.0％
8%
↓ 1.75％
9%
↓ 1.5％
9%
↓ 1.25％
25%
↓ 1.0％
9%
↓ 0.75％
8%
↓ 0.5％
7%
↓ 0.25％
7%
↓ 0％
8%
$1,277,739 Vol.
↑ 5.5％
$43,020 Vol.
4%
↑ 5.25％
$136,294 Vol.
5%
↑ 5.0％
$10,055 Vol.
3%
↑ 4.75％
$65,847 Vol.
4%
↑ 4.5％
$10,972 Vol.
5%
↑ 4.25％
$22,315 Vol.
9%
↓ 3.25％
$53,849 Vol.
62%
↓ 3.0％
$216,065 Vol.
34%
↓ 2.75％
$250,453 Vol.
19%
↓2.5%
$172,194 Vol.
16%
↓ 2.25％
$22,793 Vol.
7%
↓ 2.0％
$15,062 Vol.
8%
↓ 1.75％
$5,983 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.5％
$24,836 Vol.
9%
↓ 1.25％
$893 Vol.
25%
↓ 1.0％
$0 Vol.
9%
↓ 0.75％
$388 Vol.
8%
↓ 0.5％
$89,298 Vol.
7%
↓ 0.25％
$118,199 Vol.
7%
↓ 0％
$10,220 Vol.
8%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for its second consecutive meeting following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC decision, reflecting trader consensus on a resilient U.S. economy amid sticky inflation at 2.4% year-over-year in February CPI data. Stronger-than-expected March nonfarm payrolls, adding 178,000 jobs versus forecasts near 60,000, and unemployment dipping to 4.3% have tempered near-term rate cut expectations, with CME FedWatch implying low probabilities of easing before the April 28-29 meeting. Polymarket traders aggregate similar sentiment, pricing modest further declines—potentially to the low-3% range by 2027 per the Fed's March dot plot—while upcoming March CPI on April 10 and labor data will be pivotal catalysts influencing the path to resolution before year-end 2026.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
マーケット開始日： Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
音量
$1,277,739終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for its second consecutive meeting following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC decision, reflecting trader consensus on a resilient U.S. economy amid sticky inflation at 2.4% year-over-year in February CPI data. Stronger-than-expected March nonfarm payrolls, adding 178,000 jobs versus forecasts near 60,000, and unemployment dipping to 4.3% have tempered near-term rate cut expectations, with CME FedWatch implying low probabilities of easing before the April 28-29 meeting. Polymarket traders aggregate similar sentiment, pricing modest further declines—potentially to the low-3% range by 2027 per the Fed's March dot plot—while upcoming March CPI on April 10 and labor data will be pivotal catalysts influencing the path to resolution before year-end 2026.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
音量
$1,277,739終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for its second consecutive meeting following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC decision, reflecting trader consensus on a resilient U.S. economy amid sticky inflation at 2.4% year-over-year in February CPI data. Stronger-than-expected March nonfarm payrolls, adding 178,000 jobs versus forecasts near 60,000, and unemployment dipping to 4.3% have tempered near-term rate cut expectations, with CME FedWatch implying low probabilities of easing before the April 28-29 meeting. Polymarket traders aggregate similar sentiment, pricing modest further declines—potentially to the low-3% range by 2027 per the Fed's March dot plot—while upcoming March CPI on April 10 and labor data will be pivotal catalysts influencing the path to resolution before year-end 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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