Trader consensus prices Tom Sell as a dominant 85.5% favorite to win the Republican primary for Texas House District 19, reflecting his commanding fundraising edge—campaign finance reports show him raising over ten times more than rivals—and key endorsements from local GOP county chairs and state legislators solidified in recent weeks. Abraham Enriquez holds second at 7.8% on grassroots momentum but trails in polls and visibility, while Ryan Zink and others linger below 3%. No major developments have emerged in the past 48 hours; the market remains stable ahead of early voting, now concluded, and the March 5 primary. Low historical turnout in similar rural Texas primaries favors well-resourced frontrunners like Sell, though a last-minute scandal could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日トム・セル 85.5%
エイブラハム・エンリケス 3.7%
ライアン・ジンク 2.6%
マシュー・スミス 1.0%
$42,303 Vol.
$42,303 Vol.
トム・セル
86%
エイブラハム・エンリケス
9%
ライアン・ジンク
3%
マシュー・スミス
1%
ドナルド・メイ
1%
ジェイソン・コーリー
1%
ジェームズ・バービー
1%
トム・セル 85.5%
エイブラハム・エンリケス 3.7%
ライアン・ジンク 2.6%
マシュー・スミス 1.0%
$42,303 Vol.
$42,303 Vol.
トム・セル
86%
エイブラハム・エンリケス
9%
ライアン・ジンク
3%
マシュー・スミス
1%
ドナルド・メイ
1%
ジェイソン・コーリー
1%
ジェームズ・バービー
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Tom Sell as a dominant 85.5% favorite to win the Republican primary for Texas House District 19, reflecting his commanding fundraising edge—campaign finance reports show him raising over ten times more than rivals—and key endorsements from local GOP county chairs and state legislators solidified in recent weeks. Abraham Enriquez holds second at 7.8% on grassroots momentum but trails in polls and visibility, while Ryan Zink and others linger below 3%. No major developments have emerged in the past 48 hours; the market remains stable ahead of early voting, now concluded, and the March 5 primary. Low historical turnout in similar rural Texas primaries favors well-resourced frontrunners like Sell, though a last-minute scandal could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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