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Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Market icon

Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$193,176 Vol.

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$193,176 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Donald Trump is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Trump will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from Donald Trump.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Donald Trump is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.

Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.

Unsubstantiated claims made by Trump will not alone qualify.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from Donald Trump.
音量
$193,176
終了日
2025/12/31
マーケット開始日
Oct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Donald Trump is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Trump will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from Donald Trump.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Donald Trump is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Trump will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from Donald Trump.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Donald Trump is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.

Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.

Unsubstantiated claims made by Trump will not alone qualify.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from Donald Trump.
音量
$193,176
終了日
2025/12/31
マーケット開始日
Oct 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Donald Trump is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Trump will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from Donald Trump.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。例えば、「はい」が0¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を0%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?」は$193.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Oct 27, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を0%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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