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JDヴァンスが一般教書演説で拍手する回数は?

Market icon

JDヴァンスが一般教書演説で拍手する回数は?

80~89 99.0%

90~99 <1%

70~79 <1%

100回以上 <1%

Polymarket

$559,986 Vol.

80~89 99.0%

90~99 <1%

70~79 <1%

100回以上 <1%

Polymarket

$559,986 Vol.

20未満

$63,976 Vol.

いいえ

20~29

$46,478 Vol.

いいえ

30〜39

$34,219 Vol.

いいえ

40〜49

$34,296 Vol.

いいえ

50〜59

$32,469 Vol.

いいえ

60〜69

$36,766 Vol.

いいえ

70~79

$51,042 Vol.

いいえ

80~89

$43,842 Vol.

はい

90~99

$49,715 Vol.

いいえ

100回以上

$167,183 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve to the number of times JD Vance stands and claps during Donald Trump’s 2026 State of the Union address, scheduled for February 24, 2026.

Only instances in which JD Vance clearly stands up and visibly claps his hands together will qualify. Applause while seated will NOT count. Standing without clapping will NOT count. Clapping while partially rising but not fully standing will NOT count.

Each discrete standing instance will count as one occurrence, regardless of the duration of the applause during that standing period. If JD Vance sits down and later stands again to clap, this will count as a new occurrence.

Only clapping that occurs between the moment Donald Trump reaches the podium and the moment he leaves the podium will qualify. Applause before he reaches the podium or after he departs will NOT count.

If JD Vance is not present for the address, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the 2026 address to Congress does not occur by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the official C-SPAN video feed of the address.
音量
$559,986
終了日
Feb 24, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 22, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to the number of times JD Vance stands and claps during Donald Trump’s 2026 State of the Union address, scheduled for February 24, 2026. Only instances in which JD Vance clearly stands up and visibly claps his hands together will qualify. Applause while seated will NOT count. Standing without clapping will NOT count. Clapping while partially rising but not fully standing will NOT count. Each discrete standing instance will count as one occurrence, regardless of the duration of the applause during that standing period. If JD Vance sits down and later stands again to clap, this will count as a new occurrence. Only clapping that occurs between the moment Donald Trump reaches the podium and the moment he leaves the podium will qualify. Applause before he reaches the podium or after he departs will NOT count. If JD Vance is not present for the address, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the 2026 address to Congress does not occur by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the official C-SPAN video feed of the address.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"JDヴァンスが一般教書演説で拍手する回数は?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "80~89" at 100%, followed by "20未満" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "JDヴァンスが一般教書演説で拍手する回数は?" has generated $560K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "JDヴァンスが一般教書演説で拍手する回数は?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "JDヴァンスが一般教書演説で拍手する回数は?" is "80~89" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20未満" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "JDヴァンスが一般教書演説で拍手する回数は?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.