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Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Market icon

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$346,734 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$346,734 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
音量
$346,734
終了日
Jan 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
音量
$346,734
終了日
Jan 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。例えば、「はい」が100¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を100%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?」は$346.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を100%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。