Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,636 Vol.
$26,636 Vol.
2026/11/02
ティム・ケネディ（民主党）
95%
デニス・ハノン（共和党）
4%
$26,636 Vol.
$26,636 Vol.
2026/11/02
ティム・ケネディ（民主党）
$14,443 Vol.
95%
デニス・ハノン（共和党）
$12,193 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$26,636終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,636終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問