Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2.6M-2.8M TSA passenger throughput bin for March 29 at a leading 67% implied probability, reflecting recent daily screenings averaging approximately 2.6 million amid peak spring break demand projected at 171 million passengers for March-April. March 26 recorded 2.72 million travelers, following fluctuations between 2.19 million on March 24 and 2.87 million on March 22, with year-over-year declines around 9% noted on March 26. Severe staffing shortages—driven by a DHS funding impasse, 10-50% officer callout rates, and over 450 resignations—have caused four-hour security lines and checkpoint closures over the March 28-29 weekend, potentially capping volumes below historical peaks while ICE agents provide limited support. Official TSA data release expected Monday morning could catalyze shifts as traders assess sustained demand versus operational constraints.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2.6M-2.8M 75%
3.0M-3.2M 43.6%
2.8M-3.0M 38%
<2.6M 36.5%
$17,360 Vol.
$17,360 Vol.
<2.6M
37%
2.6M-2.8M
67%
2.8M-3.0M
38%
3.0M-3.2M
44%
3.2M-3.4M
38%
>3.4M
<1%
2.6M-2.8M 75%
3.0M-3.2M 43.6%
2.8M-3.0M 38%
<2.6M 36.5%
$17,360 Vol.
$17,360 Vol.
<2.6M
37%
2.6M-2.8M
67%
2.8M-3.0M
38%
3.0M-3.2M
44%
3.2M-3.4M
38%
>3.4M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2.6M-2.8M TSA passenger throughput bin for March 29 at a leading 67% implied probability, reflecting recent daily screenings averaging approximately 2.6 million amid peak spring break demand projected at 171 million passengers for March-April. March 26 recorded 2.72 million travelers, following fluctuations between 2.19 million on March 24 and 2.87 million on March 22, with year-over-year declines around 9% noted on March 26. Severe staffing shortages—driven by a DHS funding impasse, 10-50% officer callout rates, and over 450 resignations—have caused four-hour security lines and checkpoint closures over the March 28-29 weekend, potentially capping volumes below historical peaks while ICE agents provide limited support. Official TSA data release expected Monday morning could catalyze shifts as traders assess sustained demand versus operational constraints.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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