Former President Rumen Radev leads trader consensus at 63% implied probability to become Bulgaria's next prime minister following the April 19, 2026 snap parliamentary election—the eighth in five years amid chronic instability and failed coalition attempts. His newly formed Progressive Bulgaria consistently tops polls, such as Alpha Research's March 29 survey showing 30.8% support versus GERB-UDF's 21.2%, positioning his bloc for the first exploratory mandate from President Iliyana Yotova. Assen Vassilev of Continue the Change trails at around 16% odds, reflecting his party's competitive but secondary polling, while caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov holds 14% on potential extended tenure if no stable government forms post-election. Recent campaign rhetoric, including Radev's criticism of Gyurov's Ukraine security pact, underscores voter priorities on inflation and corruption, with coalition negotiations likely pivotal after low turnout risks in fragmented polls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Rumen Radev 63%
Assen Vassilev 16.4%
Andrey Gyurov 13%
Boyko Borissov 2.0%
Rumen Radev
63%
Assen Vassilev
16%
Andrey Gyurov
13%
Boyko Borissov
2%
Dimitar Glavchev
2%
Kostadin Kostadinov
1%
Nikolai Denkov
1%
Delyan Peevski
1%
Krum Zarkov
1%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
1%
Rumen Radev 63%
Assen Vassilev 16.4%
Andrey Gyurov 13%
Boyko Borissov 2.0%
Rumen Radev
63%
Assen Vassilev
16%
Andrey Gyurov
13%
Boyko Borissov
2%
Dimitar Glavchev
2%
Kostadin Kostadinov
1%
Nikolai Denkov
1%
Delyan Peevski
1%
Krum Zarkov
1%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Former President Rumen Radev leads trader consensus at 63% implied probability to become Bulgaria's next prime minister following the April 19, 2026 snap parliamentary election—the eighth in five years amid chronic instability and failed coalition attempts. His newly formed Progressive Bulgaria consistently tops polls, such as Alpha Research's March 29 survey showing 30.8% support versus GERB-UDF's 21.2%, positioning his bloc for the first exploratory mandate from President Iliyana Yotova. Assen Vassilev of Continue the Change trails at around 16% odds, reflecting his party's competitive but secondary polling, while caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov holds 14% on potential extended tenure if no stable government forms post-election. Recent campaign rhetoric, including Radev's criticism of Gyurov's Ukraine security pact, underscores voter priorities on inflation and corruption, with coalition negotiations likely pivotal after low turnout risks in fragmented polls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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