Market icon

New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?

Market icon

New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?

12-15% 100.0%

<3% <1%

3-6% <1%

6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$6,209,425 Vol.

12-15% 100.0%

<3% <1%

3-6% <1%

6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$6,209,425 Vol.

<3%

$1,447,753 Vol.

No

3-6%

$429,041 Vol.

No

6-9%

$2,546,236 Vol.

No

9-12%

$472,954 Vol.

No

12-15%

$727,532 Vol.

Yes

15%+

$585,908 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Mikie Sherrill in the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Sherrill’s certified statewide vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If Mikie Sherrill does not receive the most votes statewide in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official certified statewide results as published by the New Jersey Division of Elections (New Jersey Department of State).

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
音量
$6,209,425
終了日
Nov 4, 2025
マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2025, 6:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Mikie Sherrill in the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Sherrill’s certified statewide vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Mikie Sherrill does not receive the most votes statewide in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official certified statewide results as published by the New Jersey Division of Elections (New Jersey Department of State). If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

" New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12-15%" at 100%, followed by "<3%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?" has generated $6.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for " New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?" is "12-15%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<3%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for " New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.