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カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退?

Market icon

カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退?

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$15,614 Vol.

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$15,614 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Karoline Leavitt, appointed White House Press Secretary after the January 20 inauguration, faces no reported internal pressures or performance issues driving the 99% trader consensus she will remain in her role through March 31. Her January 28 debut briefing effectively fielded questions on early executive actions and policy transitions without notable gaffes, earning broad media coverage that reinforces stability in the communications team. President Trump's longstanding endorsement and the administration's emphasis on rapid agenda implementation further solidify her position amid a honeymoon period for senior staff. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen scandals, health events, or abrupt cabinet realignments, though none have surfaced in recent days.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$15,614
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Karoline Leavitt, appointed White House Press Secretary after the January 20 inauguration, faces no reported internal pressures or performance issues driving the 99% trader consensus she will remain in her role through March 31. Her January 28 debut briefing effectively fielded questions on early executive actions and policy transitions without notable gaffes, earning broad media coverage that reinforces stability in the communications team. President Trump's longstanding endorsement and the administration's emphasis on rapid agenda implementation further solidify her position amid a honeymoon period for senior staff. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen scandals, health events, or abrupt cabinet realignments, though none have surfaced in recent days.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$15,614
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カロライン・リーヴィットは3月31日までに辞任しますか?」で1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、1¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に1%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退?」は$15.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退?」の現在のリーダーは「カロライン・リーヴィットは3月31日までに辞任しますか?」でわずか1%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。