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政治·トランプ

カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退？

Market icon
政治·トランプ

カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退？

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$15,614 Vol.

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$15,614 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump named Karoline Leavitt, a 27-year-old former campaign spokesperson, as White House Press Secretary on November 15, 2024, solidifying her role in the incoming administration ahead of the January 20 inauguration. With no Senate confirmation required for this staff position and no reported controversies, internal disputes, or performance issues in the brief transition period, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 99.3% "No" on her departure by March 31, 2025. Such high confidence stems from her loyalty to Trump and the early-stage stability typical of new administrations. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health events, or abrupt executive decisions, though these remain low-probability absent new catalysts.

President-elect Donald Trump named Karoline Leavitt, a 27-year-old former campaign spokesperson, as White House Press Secretary on November 15, 2024, solidifying her role in the incoming administration ahead of the January 20 inauguration. With no Senate confirmation required for this staff position and no reported controversies, internal disputes, or performance issues in the brief transition period, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 99.3% "No" on her departure by March 31, 2025. Such high confidence stems from her loyalty to Trump and the early-stage stability typical of new administrations. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health events, or abrupt executive decisions, though these remain low-probability absent new catalysts.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump named Karoline Leavitt, a 27-year-old former campaign spokesperson, as White House Press Secretary on November 15, 2024, solidifying her role in the incoming administration ahead of the January 20 inauguration. With no Senate confirmation required for this staff position and no reported controversies, internal disputes, or performance issues in the brief transition period, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 99.3% "No" on her departure by March 31, 2025. Such high confidence stems from her loyalty to Trump and the early-stage stability typical of new administrations. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health events, or abrupt executive decisions, though these remain low-probability absent new catalysts.

President-elect Donald Trump named Karoline Leavitt, a 27-year-old former campaign spokesperson, as White House Press Secretary on November 15, 2024, solidifying her role in the incoming administration ahead of the January 20 inauguration. With no Senate confirmation required for this staff position and no reported controversies, internal disputes, or performance issues in the brief transition period, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 99.3% "No" on her departure by March 31, 2025. Such high confidence stems from her loyalty to Trump and the early-stage stability typical of new administrations. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health events, or abrupt executive decisions, though these remain low-probability absent new catalysts.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カロライン・リーヴィットは3月31日までに辞任しますか？」で1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、1¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に1%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退？」は$15.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「カロリーネ・リーヴィットが3月31日までに脱退？」の現在のリーダーは「カロライン・リーヴィットは3月31日までに辞任しますか？」でわずか1%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

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