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India military action against Pakistan before June?

Market icon

India military action against Pakistan before June?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,064,691 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,064,691 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a military action on Pakistani soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Pakistani embassies or consulates between April 22, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by India on Pakistani soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Pakistani soil is hit by an Indian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Indian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
音量
$1,064,691
終了日
May 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a military action on Pakistani soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Pakistani embassies or consulates between April 22, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by India on Pakistani soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Pakistani soil is hit by an Indian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Indian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a military action on Pakistani soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Pakistani embassies or consulates between April 22, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by India on Pakistani soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Pakistani soil is hit by an Indian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Indian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
音量
$1,064,691
終了日
May 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a military action on Pakistani soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Pakistani embassies or consulates between April 22, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by India on Pakistani soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Pakistani soil is hit by an Indian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Indian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"India military action against Pakistan before June?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "India military action against Pakistan before June?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "India military action against Pakistan before June?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "India military action against Pakistan before June?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "India military action against Pakistan before June?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.