Tesla's Q2 2026 delivery outlook shows a tight contest among the 375k–450k ranges because traders weigh sequential growth from Cybertruck production ramps and refreshed Model 3/Y variants against ongoing headwinds in the electric vehicle market. Weak Q1 results of 358,023 vehicles and softer U.S. incentives have tempered expectations, while intensifying competition from legacy automakers and slower full self-driving software adoption limit upside. Analysts focus on whether factory output can exceed 400,000 units before the July earnings report, with any delays in hardware scaling or regulatory hurdles for autonomous features likely to cap gains near the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40万〜42万5000台 26.7%
37万5000〜40万 24%
425k〜450k 21%
35万～37万5千 15.2%
$45,968 Vol.
$45,968 Vol.
2026/06/30
30万台未満
1%
30万～32万5千
1%
32万5千～35万
3%
35万～37万5千
15%
37万5000〜40万
24%
40万〜42万5000台
27%
425k〜450k
21%
45万〜47万5千
16%
47.5万台以上
11%
40万〜42万5000台 26.7%
37万5000〜40万 24%
425k〜450k 21%
35万～37万5千 15.2%
$45,968 Vol.
$45,968 Vol.
2026/06/30
30万台未満
$5,519 Vol.
1%
30万～32万5千
$3,350 Vol.
1%
32万5千～35万
$3,578 Vol.
3%
35万～37万5千
$7,931 Vol.
15%
37万5000〜40万
$4,356 Vol.
24%
40万〜42万5000台
$8,653 Vol.
27%
425k〜450k
$4,753 Vol.
21%
45万〜47万5千
$3,829 Vol.
16%
47.5万台以上
$3,999 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.Tesla's Q2 2026 delivery outlook shows a tight contest among the 375k–450k ranges because traders weigh sequential growth from Cybertruck production ramps and refreshed Model 3/Y variants against ongoing headwinds in the electric vehicle market. Weak Q1 results of 358,023 vehicles and softer U.S. incentives have tempered expectations, while intensifying competition from legacy automakers and slower full self-driving software adoption limit upside. Analysts focus on whether factory output can exceed 400,000 units before the July earnings report, with any delays in hardware scaling or regulatory hurdles for autonomous features likely to cap gains near the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
音量
$45,968終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.Tesla's Q2 2026 delivery outlook shows a tight contest among the 375k–450k ranges because traders weigh sequential growth from Cybertruck production ramps and refreshed Model 3/Y variants against ongoing headwinds in the electric vehicle market. Weak Q1 results of 358,023 vehicles and softer U.S. incentives have tempered expectations, while intensifying competition from legacy automakers and slower full self-driving software adoption limit upside. Analysts focus on whether factory output can exceed 400,000 units before the July earnings report, with any delays in hardware scaling or regulatory hurdles for autonomous features likely to cap gains near the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
音量
$45,968終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla's Q2 2026 delivery outlook shows a tight contest among the 375k–450k ranges because traders weigh sequential growth from Cybertruck production ramps and refreshed Model 3/Y variants against ongoing headwinds in the electric vehicle market. Weak Q1 results of 358,023 vehicles and softer U.S. incentives have tempered expectations, while intensifying competition from legacy automakers and slower full self-driving software adoption limit upside. Analysts focus on whether factory output can exceed 400,000 units before the July earnings report, with any delays in hardware scaling or regulatory hurdles for autonomous features likely to cap gains near the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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