OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced recurrent service disruptions in 2026, averaging 2-4 incidents per month per status logs, with a confirmed outage on April 2 affecting dictation, voice notes, and speech-to-text features globally, as acknowledged on the official status page and echoed in user reports. Surging demand for its large language model strains backend infrastructure, compounded by recent updates and high-traffic spikes, mirroring industry challenges seen in Anthropic's Claude downtime last month. No disruptions reported in the past 48 hours as of April 4, but traders eye OpenAI's scalability efforts amid competitive AI race; resolution often ties to Downdetector surges over 1,000 users or official mitigations, with potential catalysts like model releases or Q2 earnings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日April 10
15%
April 17
55%
April 24
50%
$1,763 Vol.
April 10
15%
April 17
55%
April 24
50%
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 3, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced recurrent service disruptions in 2026, averaging 2-4 incidents per month per status logs, with a confirmed outage on April 2 affecting dictation, voice notes, and speech-to-text features globally, as acknowledged on the official status page and echoed in user reports. Surging demand for its large language model strains backend infrastructure, compounded by recent updates and high-traffic spikes, mirroring industry challenges seen in Anthropic's Claude downtime last month. No disruptions reported in the past 48 hours as of April 4, but traders eye OpenAI's scalability efforts amid competitive AI race; resolution often ties to Downdetector surges over 1,000 users or official mitigations, with potential catalysts like model releases or Q2 earnings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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