Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 28–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, reflecting China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 28°C peak amid light rain and high humidity, while GFS and ECMWF ensembles imply marginal upside to 29°C under partial clearing. Differentiating factors include afternoon convective cloud cover, which could cap insolation and favor 28°C or below, versus reduced sea breeze allowing urban heat island effects at Bao'an International Airport to push 29°C. Recent days show variability—27°C on April 1 followed by cooler, rainy conditions—against April climatological highs of 25–27°C. Daily model updates and CMA briefings through April 6 will refine probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月7日の深センの最高気温は？
4月7日の深センの最高気温は？
28°C 30%
29°C 27%
30℃ 19%
31℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
1%
25℃
3%
26℃
4%
27℃
11%
28°C
30%
29°C
27%
30℃
19%
31℃
12%
32℃以上
6%
28°C 30%
29°C 27%
30℃ 19%
31℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
22℃以下
$1,290 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$349 Vol.
1%
24℃
$315 Vol.
1%
25℃
$63 Vol.
3%
26℃
$76 Vol.
4%
27℃
$65 Vol.
11%
28°C
$38 Vol.
30%
29°C
$118 Vol.
27%
30℃
$59 Vol.
19%
31℃
$88 Vol.
12%
32℃以上
$70 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 28–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, reflecting China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 28°C peak amid light rain and high humidity, while GFS and ECMWF ensembles imply marginal upside to 29°C under partial clearing. Differentiating factors include afternoon convective cloud cover, which could cap insolation and favor 28°C or below, versus reduced sea breeze allowing urban heat island effects at Bao'an International Airport to push 29°C. Recent days show variability—27°C on April 1 followed by cooler, rainy conditions—against April climatological highs of 25–27°C. Daily model updates and CMA briefings through April 6 will refine probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
音量
$2,531終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 28–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, reflecting China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 28°C peak amid light rain and high humidity, while GFS and ECMWF ensembles imply marginal upside to 29°C under partial clearing. Differentiating factors include afternoon convective cloud cover, which could cap insolation and favor 28°C or below, versus reduced sea breeze allowing urban heat island effects at Bao'an International Airport to push 29°C. Recent days show variability—27°C on April 1 followed by cooler, rainy conditions—against April climatological highs of 25–27°C. Daily model updates and CMA briefings through April 6 will refine probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,531終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 28–29°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 7, reflecting China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 28°C peak amid light rain and high humidity, while GFS and ECMWF ensembles imply marginal upside to 29°C under partial clearing. Differentiating factors include afternoon convective cloud cover, which could cap insolation and favor 28°C or below, versus reduced sea breeze allowing urban heat island effects at Bao'an International Airport to push 29°C. Recent days show variability—27°C on April 1 followed by cooler, rainy conditions—against April climatological highs of 25–27°C. Daily model updates and CMA briefings through April 6 will refine probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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