Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official weather station confirms the highest temperature on March 28, 2026, peaked at 12°C mid-afternoon, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders price in verified measurements over lingering forecasts. Hazy conditions from Asian dust inflows reduced solar insolation and capped diurnal heating, while light westerly winds around 8 knots and a stable continental high-pressure system maintained a cool air mass, aligning with ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS that converged on low-teens peaks consistent with late-March climatology averaging 10–13°C highs. Realistic challenges, such as a rare post-midnight data revision or overlooked microscale heating at the station, are improbable given the cooling trend and KMA's 5 PM update locking the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$590,140 Vol.
$590,140 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$590,140 Vol.
$590,140 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official weather station confirms the highest temperature on March 28, 2026, peaked at 12°C mid-afternoon, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders price in verified measurements over lingering forecasts. Hazy conditions from Asian dust inflows reduced solar insolation and capped diurnal heating, while light westerly winds around 8 knots and a stable continental high-pressure system maintained a cool air mass, aligning with ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS that converged on low-teens peaks consistent with late-March climatology averaging 10–13°C highs. Realistic challenges, such as a rare post-midnight data revision or overlooked microscale heating at the station, are improbable given the cooling trend and KMA's 5 PM update locking the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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