Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 12–16°C, mirroring the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities evenly spread across mid-teens outcomes. This reflects inherent short-term forecast uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover under a weak high-pressure ridge, southerly winds potentially advecting warmer air masses (recent late-March highs reached 20°C), versus timing of an approaching low-pressure trough that could enhance overcast skies and limit solar insolation. Early April climatology averages 14–15°C highs, with model spreads of 2–4°C typical due to boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects in Seoul; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Gimpo observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
15°C 24%
13°C 21%
14°C 19%
16°C or higher 14.6%
$55,407 Vol.
$55,407 Vol.
2026/04/02
6°C or below
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
15%
13°C
21%
14°C
19%
15°C
24%
16°C or higher
15%
15°C 24%
13°C 21%
14°C 19%
16°C or higher 14.6%
$55,407 Vol.
$55,407 Vol.
2026/04/02
6°C or below
$19,878 Vol.
1%
7°C
$3,220 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$3,437 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$4,646 Vol.
1%
10°C
$4,135 Vol.
2%
11°C
$3,383 Vol.
8%
12°C
$2,312 Vol.
15%
13°C
$2,877 Vol.
21%
14°C
$1,972 Vol.
19%
15°C
$2,803 Vol.
24%
16°C or higher
$6,754 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 12–16°C, mirroring the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities evenly spread across mid-teens outcomes. This reflects inherent short-term forecast uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover under a weak high-pressure ridge, southerly winds potentially advecting warmer air masses (recent late-March highs reached 20°C), versus timing of an approaching low-pressure trough that could enhance overcast skies and limit solar insolation. Early April climatology averages 14–15°C highs, with model spreads of 2–4°C typical due to boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects in Seoul; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Gimpo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
音量
$55,407終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 12–16°C, mirroring the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities evenly spread across mid-teens outcomes. This reflects inherent short-term forecast uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover under a weak high-pressure ridge, southerly winds potentially advecting warmer air masses (recent late-March highs reached 20°C), versus timing of an approaching low-pressure trough that could enhance overcast skies and limit solar insolation. Early April climatology averages 14–15°C highs, with model spreads of 2–4°C typical due to boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects in Seoul; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Gimpo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$55,407終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETKorea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 12–16°C, mirroring the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities evenly spread across mid-teens outcomes. This reflects inherent short-term forecast uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover under a weak high-pressure ridge, southerly winds potentially advecting warmer air masses (recent late-March highs reached 20°C), versus timing of an approaching low-pressure trough that could enhance overcast skies and limit solar insolation. Early April climatology averages 14–15°C highs, with model spreads of 2–4°C typical due to boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects in Seoul; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Gimpo observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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