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Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

76°F or higher 78%

74-75°F 10%

72-73°F 6.6%

70-71°F 4.0%

Polymarket

$35,126 Vol.

76°F or higher 78%

74-75°F 10%

72-73°F 6.6%

70-71°F 4.0%

Polymarket

$35,126 Vol.

57°F or below

$3,867 Vol.

<1%

58-59°F

$2,258 Vol.

<1%

60-61°F

$6,192 Vol.

<1%

62-63°F

$2,324 Vol.

<1%

64-65°F

$3,894 Vol.

<1%

66-67°F

$3,909 Vol.

1%

68-69°F

$2,120 Vol.

1%

70-71°F

$3,140 Vol.

4%

72-73°F

$2,718 Vol.

7%

74-75°F

$2,253 Vol.

10%

76°F or higher

$2,655 Vol.

78%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 76°F or higher (76.5%) for San Francisco on March 29, driven by lingering warmth from an unprecedented March 2026 heat wave that shattered records, including a 90°F downtown peak on March 20 and 71°F at KSFO on March 26—well above the 62°F climatological average. National Weather Service guidance calls for sunny skies and a 71°F high under light onshore flow, but GFS ensemble models trend warmer into the low 70s, hinging on delayed clearance of the persistent coastal marine layer and stratus clouds that often temper SFO airport readings. ECMWF runs favor mid-60s with strengthening winds; overnight model updates and morning fog burn-off timing will clarify the balance.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 76°F or higher (76.5%) for San Francisco on March 29, driven by lingering warmth from an unprecedented March 2026 heat wave that shattered records, including a 90°F downtown peak on March 20 and 71°F at KSFO on March 26—well above the 62°F climatological average. National Weather Service guidance calls for sunny skies and a 71°F high under light onshore flow, but GFS ensemble models trend warmer into the low 70s, hinging on delayed clearance of the persistent coastal marine layer and stratus clouds that often temper SFO airport readings. ECMWF runs favor mid-60s with strengthening winds; overnight model updates and morning fog burn-off timing will clarify the balance.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 76°F or higher (76.5%) for San Francisco on March 29, driven by lingering warmth from an unprecedented March 2026 heat wave that shattered records, including a 90°F downtown peak on March 20 and 71°F at KSFO on March 26—well above the 62°F climatological average. National Weather Service guidance calls for sunny skies and a 71°F high under light onshore flow, but GFS ensemble models trend warmer into the low 70s, hinging on delayed clearance of the persistent coastal marine layer and stratus clouds that often temper SFO airport readings. ECMWF runs favor mid-60s with strengthening winds; overnight model updates and morning fog burn-off timing will clarify the balance.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 76°F or higher (76.5%) for San Francisco on March 29, driven by lingering warmth from an unprecedented March 2026 heat wave that shattered records, including a 90°F downtown peak on March 20 and 71°F at KSFO on March 26—well above the 62°F climatological average. National Weather Service guidance calls for sunny skies and a 71°F high under light onshore flow, but GFS ensemble models trend warmer into the low 70s, hinging on delayed clearance of the persistent coastal marine layer and stratus clouds that often temper SFO airport readings. ECMWF runs favor mid-60s with strengthening winds; overnight model updates and morning fog burn-off timing will clarify the balance.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「76°F or higher」で78%、次いで「74-75°F」が10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?」は$35.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?」の現在のフロントランナーは「76°F or higher」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「74-75°F」で10%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 29?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。