Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 16°C at Milano Linate Airport (100% implied probability), driven by morning observations of 10–12°C lows under high-pressure ridging, light northerly winds, and mostly sunny skies enabling steady diurnal warming. Latest ARPA Lombardia bulletins and ECMWF ensemble forecasts confirm peak heating around mid-afternoon at this level, aligning with March climatology where Milan averages 13–16°C highs amid transitional spring patterns. Final hourly observations from the airport will resolve the market; realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or a late southerly wind shift boosting insolation slightly higher, though current stability makes shifts improbable as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$57,606 Vol.
$57,606 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$57,606 Vol.
$57,606 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 16°C at Milano Linate Airport (100% implied probability), driven by morning observations of 10–12°C lows under high-pressure ridging, light northerly winds, and mostly sunny skies enabling steady diurnal warming. Latest ARPA Lombardia bulletins and ECMWF ensemble forecasts confirm peak heating around mid-afternoon at this level, aligning with March climatology where Milan averages 13–16°C highs amid transitional spring patterns. Final hourly observations from the airport will resolve the market; realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or a late southerly wind shift boosting insolation slightly higher, though current stability makes shifts improbable as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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