Uniform market-implied probabilities across 28–38+°C outcomes reflect deep uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts for Lucknow's April 9 high temperature, with global models diverging on highs from 33–41°C due to variable cloud cover and convective potential. Recent observations through April 4 logged maximums near 35–36°C—mild relative to norms amid isolated thundershowers and partly cloudy skies—but low humidity, dry soils, and intensifying solar insolation signal upward trends toward historical early-April averages of 37°C, amplified by Lucknow's urban heat island. Clear afternoons could push 37°C+, while thunderstorms cap below 33°C; watch IMD daily bulletins for refined stability indices ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 9?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 9?
30°C 29%
29°C 28%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/09
28°C or below
15%
29°C
28%
30°C
29%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C or higher
18%
30°C 29%
29°C 28%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/09
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$0 Vol.
28%
30°C
$0 Vol.
29%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
26%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C
$0 Vol.
26%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Uniform market-implied probabilities across 28–38+°C outcomes reflect deep uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts for Lucknow's April 9 high temperature, with global models diverging on highs from 33–41°C due to variable cloud cover and convective potential. Recent observations through April 4 logged maximums near 35–36°C—mild relative to norms amid isolated thundershowers and partly cloudy skies—but low humidity, dry soils, and intensifying solar insolation signal upward trends toward historical early-April averages of 37°C, amplified by Lucknow's urban heat island. Clear afternoons could push 37°C+, while thunderstorms cap below 33°C; watch IMD daily bulletins for refined stability indices ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 5, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/09マーケット開始日
Apr 5, 2026, 12:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Uniform market-implied probabilities across 28–38+°C outcomes reflect deep uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts for Lucknow's April 9 high temperature, with global models diverging on highs from 33–41°C due to variable cloud cover and convective potential. Recent observations through April 4 logged maximums near 35–36°C—mild relative to norms amid isolated thundershowers and partly cloudy skies—but low humidity, dry soils, and intensifying solar insolation signal upward trends toward historical early-April averages of 37°C, amplified by Lucknow's urban heat island. Clear afternoons could push 37°C+, while thunderstorms cap below 33°C; watch IMD daily bulletins for refined stability indices ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/09マーケット開始日
Apr 5, 2026, 12:13 AM ETUniform market-implied probabilities across 28–38+°C outcomes reflect deep uncertainty in India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts for Lucknow's April 9 high temperature, with global models diverging on highs from 33–41°C due to variable cloud cover and convective potential. Recent observations through April 4 logged maximums near 35–36°C—mild relative to norms amid isolated thundershowers and partly cloudy skies—but low humidity, dry soils, and intensifying solar insolation signal upward trends toward historical early-April averages of 37°C, amplified by Lucknow's urban heat island. Clear afternoons could push 37°C+, while thunderstorms cap below 33°C; watch IMD daily bulletins for refined stability indices ahead of resolution.
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