Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 16°C in Chongqing on March 28, backed by real-time observational data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport (ZUCK) and relayed China Meteorological Administration reports showing daytime peaks around 61°F (16°C) amid persistent overcast skies, light to heavy rain, and northeasterly winds. This subdued reading reflects a frontal low-pressure system suppressing temperatures below late-March climatological norms of 18–20°C, with hourly METARs confirming no exceedance past mid-afternoon. While model consensus from earlier forecasts hinted at potential 17–21°C, cloud cover and precipitation inhibited solar heating. Realistic challenges would require a post-day data revision from the official resolution source—unlikely given the skin-in-the-game trader alignment with verified station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$72,411 Vol.
$72,411 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$72,411 Vol.
$72,411 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 16°C in Chongqing on March 28, backed by real-time observational data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport (ZUCK) and relayed China Meteorological Administration reports showing daytime peaks around 61°F (16°C) amid persistent overcast skies, light to heavy rain, and northeasterly winds. This subdued reading reflects a frontal low-pressure system suppressing temperatures below late-March climatological norms of 18–20°C, with hourly METARs confirming no exceedance past mid-afternoon. While model consensus from earlier forecasts hinted at potential 17–21°C, cloud cover and precipitation inhibited solar heating. Realistic challenges would require a post-day data revision from the official resolution source—unlikely given the skin-in-the-game trader alignment with verified station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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