Trader sentiment on June gold futures (GC) settlement reflects a bullish consensus skewed toward $4,200-$5,000 ranges, with $4,200-$4,600 (18.1%) and $4,600-$5,000 (18.0%) deadlocked amid expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts lowering real yields and boosting non-yielding assets. Recent drivers include gold's surge past $2,650/oz on persistent inflation above 3%, central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually, and Middle East tensions sustaining safe-haven flows. The narrow lead hinges on upcoming July FOMC signals and August nonfarm payrolls; stronger-than-expected U.S. data could cap upside at lower bins via dollar strength, while softer prints propel toward $5,000+. Historical precedents like 2020's rally underscore volatility around policy pivots.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$4,200~$4,600 18.1%
4,600~5,000ドル 18%
$5,000〜$5,400 14.4%
$3,800~$4,200 12.6%
$369,443 Vol.
$369,443 Vol.
3,800ドル未満
9%
$3,800~$4,200
13%
$4,200~$4,600
18%
4,600~5,000ドル
18%
$5,000〜$5,400
14%
$5,400〜$5,800
10%
5,800~6,200ドル
9%
6,200ドル超
8%
$4,200~$4,600 18.1%
4,600~5,000ドル 18%
$5,000〜$5,400 14.4%
$3,800~$4,200 12.6%
$369,443 Vol.
$369,443 Vol.
3,800ドル未満
9%
$3,800~$4,200
13%
$4,200~$4,600
18%
4,600~5,000ドル
18%
$5,000〜$5,400
14%
$5,400〜$5,800
10%
5,800~6,200ドル
9%
6,200ドル超
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on June gold futures (GC) settlement reflects a bullish consensus skewed toward $4,200-$5,000 ranges, with $4,200-$4,600 (18.1%) and $4,600-$5,000 (18.0%) deadlocked amid expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts lowering real yields and boosting non-yielding assets. Recent drivers include gold's surge past $2,650/oz on persistent inflation above 3%, central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually, and Middle East tensions sustaining safe-haven flows. The narrow lead hinges on upcoming July FOMC signals and August nonfarm payrolls; stronger-than-expected U.S. data could cap upside at lower bins via dollar strength, while softer prints propel toward $5,000+. Historical precedents like 2020's rally underscore volatility around policy pivots.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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