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ユーロ圏の年間インフレ率2026年

Market icon

ユーロ圏の年間インフレ率2026年

3.1%以上 55.9%

1.6~1.8% 25.6%

2.8~3.0% 23.5%

1.3~1.5% 21.7%

Polymarket
NEW

3.1%以上 55.9%

1.6~1.8% 25.6%

2.8~3.0% 23.5%

1.3~1.5% 21.7%

Polymarket
NEW

1.0%未満

$521 Vol.

15%

1.0〜1.2%

$0 Vol.

20%

1.3~1.5%

$0 Vol.

22%

1.6~1.8%

$458 Vol.

26%

1.9~2.1%

$0 Vol.

17%

2.2~2.4%

$0 Vol.

23%

2.5~2.7%

$464 Vol.

17%

2.8~3.0%

$476 Vol.

17%

3.1%以上

$779 Vol.

36%

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report. The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlTrader sentiment in the Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026 market reflects the ECB staff's March 2026 projections revising headline HICP inflation to 2.6%—up 0.7 percentage points from December—driven by surging oil and gas prices from the Middle East conflict, with energy inflation projected to peak at levels pushing quarterly HICP to 3.1% in Q2 2026. February's annual HICP rose unexpectedly to 1.9% from January's 1.7%, signaling stickiness amid wage moderation but potential second-round effects. Implied probabilities favor 3.1%+ at 36%, capturing upside risks from prolonged disruptions versus the baseline, while 1.6–1.8% at 26% prices milder resolutions; closely contested lower bins highlight uncertainty. Watch March 31 flash HICP for near-term catalysts ahead of ECB's April review.

Trader sentiment in the Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026 market reflects the ECB staff's March 2026 projections revising headline HICP inflation to 2.6%—up 0.7 percentage points from December—driven by surging oil and gas prices from the Middle East conflict, with energy inflation projected to peak at levels pushing quarterly HICP to 3.1% in Q2 2026. February's annual HICP rose unexpectedly to 1.9% from January's 1.7%, signaling stickiness amid wage moderation but potential second-round effects. Implied probabilities favor 3.1%+ at 36%, capturing upside risks from prolonged disruptions versus the baseline, while 1.6–1.8% at 26% prices milder resolutions; closely contested lower bins highlight uncertainty. Watch March 31 flash HICP for near-term catalysts ahead of ECB's April review.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report. The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlTrader sentiment in the Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026 market reflects the ECB staff's March 2026 projections revising headline HICP inflation to 2.6%—up 0.7 percentage points from December—driven by surging oil and gas prices from the Middle East conflict, with energy inflation projected to peak at levels pushing quarterly HICP to 3.1% in Q2 2026. February's annual HICP rose unexpectedly to 1.9% from January's 1.7%, signaling stickiness amid wage moderation but potential second-round effects. Implied probabilities favor 3.1%+ at 36%, capturing upside risks from prolonged disruptions versus the baseline, while 1.6–1.8% at 26% prices milder resolutions; closely contested lower bins highlight uncertainty. Watch March 31 flash HICP for near-term catalysts ahead of ECB's April review.

Trader sentiment in the Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026 market reflects the ECB staff's March 2026 projections revising headline HICP inflation to 2.6%—up 0.7 percentage points from December—driven by surging oil and gas prices from the Middle East conflict, with energy inflation projected to peak at levels pushing quarterly HICP to 3.1% in Q2 2026. February's annual HICP rose unexpectedly to 1.9% from January's 1.7%, signaling stickiness amid wage moderation but potential second-round effects. Implied probabilities favor 3.1%+ at 36%, capturing upside risks from prolonged disruptions versus the baseline, while 1.6–1.8% at 26% prices milder resolutions; closely contested lower bins highlight uncertainty. Watch March 31 flash HICP for near-term catalysts ahead of ECB's April review.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ユーロ圏の年間インフレ率2026年」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「3.1%以上」で36%、次いで「1.6~1.8%」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、36¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に36%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ユーロ圏の年間インフレ率2026年」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jan 22, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ユーロ圏の年間インフレ率2026年」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ユーロ圏の年間インフレ率2026年」の現在のフロントランナーは「3.1%以上」で36%であり、市場がこの結果に36%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1.6~1.8%」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユーロ圏の年間インフレ率2026年」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。