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Daniel Băluță % of vote in Bucharest Mayoral Election?

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Daniel Băluță % of vote in Bucharest Mayoral Election?

20-25% 100.0%

<15% <1%

15-20% <1%

25-30% <1%

Polymarket

$70,399 Vol.

20-25% 100.0%

<15% <1%

15-20% <1%

25-30% <1%

Polymarket

$70,399 Vol.

<15%

$4,638 Vol.

No

15-20%

$15,790 Vol.

No

20-25%

$21,398 Vol.

Yes

25-30%

$13,351 Vol.

No

30-35%

$6,898 Vol.

No

35-40%

$4,187 Vol.

No

40%+

$4,136 Vol.

No

Nicușor Dan, the former Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This election is now scheduled for December 7, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of votes received by the listed candidate in this by-election for Mayor of Bucharest. The percentage of votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes the listed candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of the Bucharest mayoral election are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote count has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$70,399
終了日
Dec 7, 2025
マーケット開始日
Nov 29, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Nicușor Dan, the former Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This election is now scheduled for December 7, 2025. This market will resolve according to the percentage of votes received by the listed candidate in this by-election for Mayor of Bucharest. The percentage of votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes the listed candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of the Bucharest mayoral election are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote count has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Daniel Băluță % of vote in Bucharest Mayoral Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-25%" at 100%, followed by "<15%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Daniel Băluță % of vote in Bucharest Mayoral Election?" has generated $70.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Daniel Băluță % of vote in Bucharest Mayoral Election?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Daniel Băluță % of vote in Bucharest Mayoral Election?" is "20-25%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<15%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Daniel Băluță % of vote in Bucharest Mayoral Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.