The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns over multiple cycles, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent developments, including the May 2026 Democratic convention where former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the party endorsement over long-serving incumbent John Larson, have introduced primary competition set for August 11 alongside state Representative Jillian Gilchrest, yet these intra-party dynamics have not altered the broader outlook. Republican nominee Amy Chai faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain limited and would require significant unforeseen events, such as a major scandal or sharp turnout shift, to challenge the frontrunner's position ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$776 Vol.
93%
共和党
$1,224 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns over multiple cycles, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent developments, including the May 2026 Democratic convention where former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the party endorsement over long-serving incumbent John Larson, have introduced primary competition set for August 11 alongside state Representative Jillian Gilchrest, yet these intra-party dynamics have not altered the broader outlook. Republican nominee Amy Chai faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain limited and would require significant unforeseen events, such as a major scandal or sharp turnout shift, to challenge the frontrunner's position ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$2,000終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns over multiple cycles, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent developments, including the May 2026 Democratic convention where former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the party endorsement over long-serving incumbent John Larson, have introduced primary competition set for August 11 alongside state Representative Jillian Gilchrest, yet these intra-party dynamics have not altered the broader outlook. Republican nominee Amy Chai faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain limited and would require significant unforeseen events, such as a major scandal or sharp turnout shift, to challenge the frontrunner's position ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,000終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns over multiple cycles, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent developments, including the May 2026 Democratic convention where former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the party endorsement over long-serving incumbent John Larson, have introduced primary competition set for August 11 alongside state Representative Jillian Gilchrest, yet these intra-party dynamics have not altered the broader outlook. Republican nominee Amy Chai faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Scenarios that could shift probabilities remain limited and would require significant unforeseen events, such as a major scandal or sharp turnout shift, to challenge the frontrunner's position ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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