Trader consensus in the Connecticut Republican gubernatorial primary market positions Erin Stewart as the frontrunner at 52% implied probability, propelled by her profile as New Britain mayor, robust fundraising post her October 2024 campaign launch, and a leading 28% in a recent Quantus Insights poll. Ryan Fazio follows at 34.5%, buoyed by his state House experience and early endorsements, while Betsy McCaughey garners 13% from national name recognition as former New York lieutenant governor. Harry Arora (6.6%) and Timothy Wilcox (2.1%) lag due to limited visibility. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have emerged recently, with the August 2026 primary still distant.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日エリン・スチュワート 52%
ライアン・ファジオ 24%
ハリー・アローラ 8.0%
ベッツィー・マコーリー 6%
エリン・スチュワート
52%
ライアン・ファジオ
33%
ハリー・アローラ
7%
ベッツィー・マコーリー
11%
ティモシー・ウィルコックス
2%
エリン・スチュワート 52%
ライアン・ファジオ 24%
ハリー・アローラ 8.0%
ベッツィー・マコーリー 6%
エリン・スチュワート
52%
ライアン・ファジオ
33%
ハリー・アローラ
7%
ベッツィー・マコーリー
11%
ティモシー・ウィルコックス
2%
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Connecticut Republican gubernatorial primary market positions Erin Stewart as the frontrunner at 52% implied probability, propelled by her profile as New Britain mayor, robust fundraising post her October 2024 campaign launch, and a leading 28% in a recent Quantus Insights poll. Ryan Fazio follows at 34.5%, buoyed by his state House experience and early endorsements, while Betsy McCaughey garners 13% from national name recognition as former New York lieutenant governor. Harry Arora (6.6%) and Timothy Wilcox (2.1%) lag due to limited visibility. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have emerged recently, with the August 2026 primary still distant.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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