6-8% 100.0%
<2% <1%
2-4% <1%
4-6% <1%
$1,011,779 Vol.
$1,011,779 Vol.
Feb 23, 2025
<2%
$271,331 Vol.
No
<2%
$271,331 Vol.
No
2-4%
$51,610 Vol.
No
2-4%
$51,610 Vol.
No
4-6%
$65,240 Vol.
No
4-6%
$65,240 Vol.
No
6-8%
$101,177 Vol.
Yes
6-8%
$101,177 Vol.
Yes
8-10%
$205,053 Vol.
No
8-10%
$205,053 Vol.
No
10-12%
$76,533 Vol.
No
10-12%
$76,533 Vol.
No
>12%
$240,835 Vol.
No
>12%
$240,835 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of party list votes received by CDU/CSU and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 German federal election.
If the CDU/CSU does not win a plurality of party list votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of party list votes received by CDU/CSU and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 German federal election.
If the CDU/CSU does not win a plurality of party list votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of party list votes received by CDU/CSU and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 German federal election.
If the CDU/CSU does not win a plurality of party list votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
作成日： Feb 14, 2025, 2:48 PM ET
音量
$1,011,779終了日
Feb 23, 2025作成日時
Feb 14, 2025, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
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