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政治·カナダ選挙

Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Market icon
政治·カナダ選挙

Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Liberals by 0-3% 100.0%

Conservatives by >12% <1%

Conservatives by 9-12% <1%

Conservatives by 6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$5,626,453 Vol.

Liberals by 0-3% 100.0%

Conservatives by >12% <1%

Conservatives by 9-12% <1%

Conservatives by 6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$5,626,453 Vol.

Conservatives by >12%

$1,002,694 Vol.

No

Conservatives by 9-12%

$632,661 Vol.

No

Conservatives by 6-9%

$799,994 Vol.

No

Conservatives by 3-6%

$497,004 Vol.

No

Conservatives by 0-3%

$414,492 Vol.

No

Liberals by 0-3%

$614,690 Vol.

Yes

Liberals by 3-6%

$387,321 Vol.

No

Liberals by 6-9%

$416,385 Vol.

No

Liberals by 9-12%

$402,167 Vol.

No

Liberals by 12%

$357,681 Vol.

No

Other

$101,363 Vol.

No

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$5,626,453
終了日
2025/06/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2025, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$5,626,453
終了日
2025/06/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2025, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Liberals by 0-3%」で100%、次いで「Conservatives by >12%」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?」は$5.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Liberals by 0-3%」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Conservatives by >12%」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。