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4月のブラジル銀行の決定は?

Market icon

4月のブラジル銀行の決定は?

引き下げ 94.0%

変更なし 5.1%

引き上げ <1%

Polymarket

$298,890 Vol.

引き下げ 94.0%

変更なし 5.1%

引き上げ <1%

Polymarket

$298,890 Vol.

引き上げ

$156,459 Vol.

1%

変更なし

$69,237 Vol.

5%

引き下げ

$73,195 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 94% implied probability for a Banco Central do Brasil Selic rate decrease at the April 28-29 Copom meeting, building on the March initiation of an easing cycle with a unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first since 2024—amid projections for inflation convergence to the 3% target by late 2027. This positioning reflects Copom's forward guidance emphasizing a gradual path despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year on transient energy shocks from Middle East tensions, with Focus survey expectations holding at 4.1% for 2026. Upside risks to inflation persistence or further Focus revisions above the 4.5% tolerance ceiling could realistically prompt a pause, challenging the strong decrease bias.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$298,890
終了日
2026/04/28
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 94% implied probability for a Banco Central do Brasil Selic rate decrease at the April 28-29 Copom meeting, building on the March initiation of an easing cycle with a unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first since 2024—amid projections for inflation convergence to the 3% target by late 2027. This positioning reflects Copom's forward guidance emphasizing a gradual path despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year on transient energy shocks from Middle East tensions, with Focus survey expectations holding at 4.1% for 2026. Upside risks to inflation persistence or further Focus revisions above the 4.5% tolerance ceiling could realistically prompt a pause, challenging the strong decrease bias.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$298,890
終了日
2026/04/28
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4月のブラジル銀行の決定は?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「引き下げ」で94%、次いで「変更なし」が5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「4月のブラジル銀行の決定は?」は$298.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 31, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「4月のブラジル銀行の決定は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月のブラジル銀行の決定は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「引き下げ」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「変更なし」で5%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月のブラジル銀行の決定は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。