Recent secondary-market trading on platforms like Forge Global has driven the 89.5% implied probability that Anthropic will carry a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026. Anthropic’s annualized revenue run rate climbed above $30 billion in April 2026, surpassing OpenAI’s estimated $25 billion, while secondary bids lifted Anthropic’s implied valuation to $1 trillion against OpenAI’s $852–880 billion range. This reversal reflects faster enterprise adoption and stronger investor demand for Anthropic shares. Key catalysts ahead include potential IPO filings later in 2026 and any further funding rounds that could reset primary valuations. Traders are pricing in sustained momentum from these fundamentals rather than assuming a guaranteed outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$89,909 Vol.
$89,909 Vol.
2026/12/31
$89,909 Vol.
$89,909 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent secondary-market trading on platforms like Forge Global has driven the 89.5% implied probability that Anthropic will carry a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026. Anthropic’s annualized revenue run rate climbed above $30 billion in April 2026, surpassing OpenAI’s estimated $25 billion, while secondary bids lifted Anthropic’s implied valuation to $1 trillion against OpenAI’s $852–880 billion range. This reversal reflects faster enterprise adoption and stronger investor demand for Anthropic shares. Key catalysts ahead include potential IPO filings later in 2026 and any further funding rounds that could reset primary valuations. Traders are pricing in sustained momentum from these fundamentals rather than assuming a guaranteed outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
音量
$89,909終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent secondary-market trading on platforms like Forge Global has driven the 89.5% implied probability that Anthropic will carry a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026. Anthropic’s annualized revenue run rate climbed above $30 billion in April 2026, surpassing OpenAI’s estimated $25 billion, while secondary bids lifted Anthropic’s implied valuation to $1 trillion against OpenAI’s $852–880 billion range. This reversal reflects faster enterprise adoption and stronger investor demand for Anthropic shares. Key catalysts ahead include potential IPO filings later in 2026 and any further funding rounds that could reset primary valuations. Traders are pricing in sustained momentum from these fundamentals rather than assuming a guaranteed outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$89,909終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent secondary-market trading on platforms like Forge Global has driven the 89.5% implied probability that Anthropic will carry a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026. Anthropic’s annualized revenue run rate climbed above $30 billion in April 2026, surpassing OpenAI’s estimated $25 billion, while secondary bids lifted Anthropic’s implied valuation to $1 trillion against OpenAI’s $852–880 billion range. This reversal reflects faster enterprise adoption and stronger investor demand for Anthropic shares. Key catalysts ahead include potential IPO filings later in 2026 and any further funding rounds that could reset primary valuations. Traders are pricing in sustained momentum from these fundamentals rather than assuming a guaranteed outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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