Polymarket traders have priced April 2026 US CPI annual inflation in a tight contest, with 3.7% at 39.2% implied probability edging 3.8% at 34.8%, reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through effects amid Middle East tensions driving gasoline prices up sharply in March. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—its highest since mid-2024—fueled by a 21.2% gasoline spike that accounted for much of the 0.9% monthly gain, prompting upward revisions in April forecasts from prior sub-3% levels. Key swing factors include final shelter costs, which remain sticky, and base effects from last year's low readings; the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data tomorrow at 8:30 a.m. ET, potentially swaying Fed rate cut odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$365,276 Vol.
$365,276 Vol.
2026/05/12
3.1％以下
1%
3.2%
<1%
3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
3%
3.6%
19%
3.7%
39%
3.8%
35%
3.9%
4%
4.0%
1%
4.1%以上
2%
$365,276 Vol.
$365,276 Vol.
2026/05/12
3.1％以下
$22,251 Vol.
1%
3.2%
$15,581 Vol.
<1%
3.3%
$14,592 Vol.
<1%
3.4%
$16,504 Vol.
<1%
3.5%
$32,695 Vol.
3%
3.6%
$39,606 Vol.
19%
3.7%
$51,352 Vol.
39%
3.8%
$73,529 Vol.
35%
3.9%
$50,631 Vol.
4%
4.0%
$22,775 Vol.
1%
4.1%以上
$26,179 Vol.
2%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders have priced April 2026 US CPI annual inflation in a tight contest, with 3.7% at 39.2% implied probability edging 3.8% at 34.8%, reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through effects amid Middle East tensions driving gasoline prices up sharply in March. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—its highest since mid-2024—fueled by a 21.2% gasoline spike that accounted for much of the 0.9% monthly gain, prompting upward revisions in April forecasts from prior sub-3% levels. Key swing factors include final shelter costs, which remain sticky, and base effects from last year's low readings; the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data tomorrow at 8:30 a.m. ET, potentially swaying Fed rate cut odds.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
音量
$365,276終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders have priced April 2026 US CPI annual inflation in a tight contest, with 3.7% at 39.2% implied probability edging 3.8% at 34.8%, reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through effects amid Middle East tensions driving gasoline prices up sharply in March. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—its highest since mid-2024—fueled by a 21.2% gasoline spike that accounted for much of the 0.9% monthly gain, prompting upward revisions in April forecasts from prior sub-3% levels. Key swing factors include final shelter costs, which remain sticky, and base effects from last year's low readings; the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data tomorrow at 8:30 a.m. ET, potentially swaying Fed rate cut odds.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$365,276終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders have priced April 2026 US CPI annual inflation in a tight contest, with 3.7% at 39.2% implied probability edging 3.8% at 34.8%, reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through effects amid Middle East tensions driving gasoline prices up sharply in March. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—its highest since mid-2024—fueled by a 21.2% gasoline spike that accounted for much of the 0.9% monthly gain, prompting upward revisions in April forecasts from prior sub-3% levels. Key swing factors include final shelter costs, which remain sticky, and base effects from last year's low readings; the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data tomorrow at 8:30 a.m. ET, potentially swaying Fed rate cut odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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