Francesca Hong holds the polling lead in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary against Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, with recent surveys showing her ahead by double digits among likely voters after several candidates withdrew. The race has narrowed to Hong, Crowley, Joel Brennan, and Kelda Roys following Mandela Barnes’s late exit, amid fundraising edges for Crowley and Gov. Tony Evers’s endorsement of him. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty around Hong’s final margin, driven by last-minute campaign dynamics, electability concerns versus Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, and polling volatility in a contest with many undecided voters until recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ホン 5〜10％ 29.5%
ホン 10〜15％ 25.0%
ホン 15〜20% 19.6%
ホン <5％ 12.4%
$132,559 Vol.
$132,559 Vol.
2026/08/11
ホン 30％以上
10%
ホン 25〜30％
8%
ホン 20～25％
7%
ホン 15〜20%
20%
ホン 10〜15％
25%
ホン 5〜10％
30%
ホン <5％
12%
クロウリーが勝利
4%
バーンズが勝利
<1%
ホン 5〜10％ 29.5%
ホン 10〜15％ 25.0%
ホン 15〜20% 19.6%
ホン <5％ 12.4%
$132,559 Vol.
$132,559 Vol.
2026/08/11
ホン 30％以上
$66,042 Vol.
10%
ホン 25〜30％
$35,211 Vol.
8%
ホン 20～25％
$5,626 Vol.
7%
ホン 15〜20%
$2,294 Vol.
20%
ホン 10〜15％
$4,326 Vol.
25%
ホン 5〜10％
$12,084 Vol.
30%
ホン <5％
$3,340 Vol.
12%
クロウリーが勝利
$2,733 Vol.
4%
バーンズが勝利
$903 Vol.
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Francesca Hong holds the polling lead in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary against Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, with recent surveys showing her ahead by double digits among likely voters after several candidates withdrew. The race has narrowed to Hong, Crowley, Joel Brennan, and Kelda Roys following Mandela Barnes’s late exit, amid fundraising edges for Crowley and Gov. Tony Evers’s endorsement of him. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty around Hong’s final margin, driven by last-minute campaign dynamics, electability concerns versus Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, and polling volatility in a contest with many undecided voters until recent weeks.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ET
音量
$132,559終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Francesca Hong holds the polling lead in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary against Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, with recent surveys showing her ahead by double digits among likely voters after several candidates withdrew. The race has narrowed to Hong, Crowley, Joel Brennan, and Kelda Roys following Mandela Barnes’s late exit, amid fundraising edges for Crowley and Gov. Tony Evers’s endorsement of him. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty around Hong’s final margin, driven by last-minute campaign dynamics, electability concerns versus Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, and polling volatility in a contest with many undecided voters until recent weeks.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$132,559終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Francesca Hong holds the polling lead in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary against Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, with recent surveys showing her ahead by double digits among likely voters after several candidates withdrew. The race has narrowed to Hong, Crowley, Joel Brennan, and Kelda Roys following Mandela Barnes’s late exit, amid fundraising edges for Crowley and Gov. Tony Evers’s endorsement of him. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty around Hong’s final margin, driven by last-minute campaign dynamics, electability concerns versus Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, and polling volatility in a contest with many undecided voters until recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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