Trader sentiment in the Virginia House seats market clusters tightly around 7–9 Democratic wins because the current congressional map, upheld after courts blocked a Democratic-led redistricting referendum, leaves only two seriously competitive Republican-held districts amid a national midterm environment that typically favors the out-party. Incumbent Republicans Rob Wittman in the 1st and Jen Kiggans in the 2nd face rematches against experienced Democratic challengers, with recent polling and fundraising trends showing narrow margins that could produce one or two flips from the existing 6–5 split. Broader factors include voter turnout patterns in suburban Northern Virginia and the Richmond area, candidate quality in August primaries, and any late shifts in the national political climate that could expand or contract the battleground. Historical base rates for midterm gains and the absence of further map changes keep outcomes near the current distribution without clear separation until closer to November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8 32%
7 27%
9以上 25%
6 12%
新規
新規
2026/11/02
5未満
<1%
5
<1%
6
12%
7
27%
8
32%
9以上
25%
8 32%
7 27%
9以上 25%
6 12%
新規
新規
2026/11/02
5未満
$293 Vol.
<1%
5
$320 Vol.
<1%
6
$1,604 Vol.
12%
7
$1,173 Vol.
27%
8
$868 Vol.
32%
9以上
$1,036 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment in the Virginia House seats market clusters tightly around 7–9 Democratic wins because the current congressional map, upheld after courts blocked a Democratic-led redistricting referendum, leaves only two seriously competitive Republican-held districts amid a national midterm environment that typically favors the out-party. Incumbent Republicans Rob Wittman in the 1st and Jen Kiggans in the 2nd face rematches against experienced Democratic challengers, with recent polling and fundraising trends showing narrow margins that could produce one or two flips from the existing 6–5 split. Broader factors include voter turnout patterns in suburban Northern Virginia and the Richmond area, candidate quality in August primaries, and any late shifts in the national political climate that could expand or contract the battleground. Historical base rates for midterm gains and the absence of further map changes keep outcomes near the current distribution without clear separation until closer to November.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
音量
$5,294終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment in the Virginia House seats market clusters tightly around 7–9 Democratic wins because the current congressional map, upheld after courts blocked a Democratic-led redistricting referendum, leaves only two seriously competitive Republican-held districts amid a national midterm environment that typically favors the out-party. Incumbent Republicans Rob Wittman in the 1st and Jen Kiggans in the 2nd face rematches against experienced Democratic challengers, with recent polling and fundraising trends showing narrow margins that could produce one or two flips from the existing 6–5 split. Broader factors include voter turnout patterns in suburban Northern Virginia and the Richmond area, candidate quality in August primaries, and any late shifts in the national political climate that could expand or contract the battleground. Historical base rates for midterm gains and the absence of further map changes keep outcomes near the current distribution without clear separation until closer to November.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$5,294終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment in the Virginia House seats market clusters tightly around 7–9 Democratic wins because the current congressional map, upheld after courts blocked a Democratic-led redistricting referendum, leaves only two seriously competitive Republican-held districts amid a national midterm environment that typically favors the out-party. Incumbent Republicans Rob Wittman in the 1st and Jen Kiggans in the 2nd face rematches against experienced Democratic challengers, with recent polling and fundraising trends showing narrow margins that could produce one or two flips from the existing 6–5 split. Broader factors include voter turnout patterns in suburban Northern Virginia and the Richmond area, candidate quality in August primaries, and any late shifts in the national political climate that could expand or contract the battleground. Historical base rates for midterm gains and the absence of further map changes keep outcomes near the current distribution without clear separation until closer to November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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