Trader consensus prices a direct meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy by June 30 at just 4.1%, reflecting irreconcilable demands in ongoing U.S.-mediated peace negotiations—Kyiv insists on full Russian troop withdrawal while Moscow demands recognition of annexed territories like Donbas. No direct talks have occurred since their 2019 Paris summit, with Putin refusing phone or in-person contact amid Russia's spring offensive and recent two-month ultimatum for Ukrainian forces to vacate Donbas. Zelenskyy's April 1 meeting with U.S. negotiators on an Easter ceasefire proposal marks the latest diplomatic push, but stalled indirect envoys signal low prospects. A major breakthrough, such as territorial compromise or trilateral summit with President Trump, could shift odds, though military escalation remains the dominant trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$190,137 Vol.
$190,137 Vol.
Oui
$190,137 Vol.
$190,137 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a direct meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy by June 30 at just 4.1%, reflecting irreconcilable demands in ongoing U.S.-mediated peace negotiations—Kyiv insists on full Russian troop withdrawal while Moscow demands recognition of annexed territories like Donbas. No direct talks have occurred since their 2019 Paris summit, with Putin refusing phone or in-person contact amid Russia's spring offensive and recent two-month ultimatum for Ukrainian forces to vacate Donbas. Zelenskyy's April 1 meeting with U.S. negotiators on an Easter ceasefire proposal marks the latest diplomatic push, but stalled indirect envoys signal low prospects. A major breakthrough, such as territorial compromise or trilateral summit with President Trump, could shift odds, though military escalation remains the dominant trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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