This market will resolve to "Red" if the combined total number of seats won by the Labour Party (Ap), Socialist Left Party (SV), Red Party (R), Centre Party (Sp), and Green Party (MDG) in the next Norwegian parliamentary election exceeds the combined total number of seats won by the Conservative Party (H), Progress Party (FrP), Liberal Party (V), and Christian Democratic Party (KrF).

This market will resolve to "Blue" if the combined total number of seats won by the Conservative Party (H), Progress Party (FrP), Liberal Party (V), and Christian Democratic Party (KrF) in the next Norwegian parliamentary election exceeds the combined total number of seats won by the Labour Party (Ap), Socialist Left Party (SV), Red Party (R), Centre Party (Sp), and Green Party (MDG).

If both blocs win an equal number of seats, or if the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50."

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the listed parties regardless of if they end up forming a coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).