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Les États-Unis annoncent un soutien militaire aux Kurdes en Iran d'ici le 31 mars ?

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Les États-Unis annoncent un soutien militaire aux Kurdes en Iran d'ici le 31 mars ?

$472,433 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$472,433 Vol.

Polymarket

31 mars

$472,433 Vol.

1%

30 avril

$0 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026, reports emerged in early March of US outreach to Iranian Kurdish dissident groups and potential CIA plans to arm them for operations against Tehran, prompting speculation of military coordination. However, the White House explicitly denied President Trump's approval of such arming, while he publicly praised Kurdish offensives as "wonderful" and pledged backing through proxies. No official Pentagon or administration announcement of direct military support has occurred, amid sensitivities with Turkey over Kurdish ties and recent US troop surges to the Middle East. In Syria, US policy shifted earlier this year toward reduced backing for Kurdish-led SDF forces, urging integration with Damascus. The situation remains fluid ahead of any resolution deadline.

Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026, reports emerged in early March of US outreach to Iranian Kurdish dissident groups and potential CIA plans to arm them for operations against Tehran, prompting speculation of military coordination. However, the White House explicitly denied President Trump's approval of such arming, while he publicly praised Kurdish offensives as "wonderful" and pledged backing through proxies. No official Pentagon or administration announcement of direct military support has occurred, amid sensitivities with Turkey over Kurdish ties and recent US troop surges to the Middle East. In Syria, US policy shifted earlier this year toward reduced backing for Kurdish-led SDF forces, urging integration with Damascus. The situation remains fluid ahead of any resolution deadline.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026, reports emerged in early March of US outreach to Iranian Kurdish dissident groups and potential CIA plans to arm them for operations against Tehran, prompting speculation of military coordination. However, the White House explicitly denied President Trump's approval of such arming, while he publicly praised Kurdish offensives as "wonderful" and pledged backing through proxies. No official Pentagon or administration announcement of direct military support has occurred, amid sensitivities with Turkey over Kurdish ties and recent US troop surges to the Middle East. In Syria, US policy shifted earlier this year toward reduced backing for Kurdish-led SDF forces, urging integration with Damascus. The situation remains fluid ahead of any resolution deadline.

Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities since late February 2026, reports emerged in early March of US outreach to Iranian Kurdish dissident groups and potential CIA plans to arm them for operations against Tehran, prompting speculation of military coordination. However, the White House explicitly denied President Trump's approval of such arming, while he publicly praised Kurdish offensives as "wonderful" and pledged backing through proxies. No official Pentagon or administration announcement of direct military support has occurred, amid sensitivities with Turkey over Kurdish ties and recent US troop surges to the Middle East. In Syria, US policy shifted earlier this year toward reduced backing for Kurdish-led SDF forces, urging integration with Damascus. The situation remains fluid ahead of any resolution deadline.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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« Les États-Unis annoncent un soutien militaire aux Kurdes en Iran d'ici le 31 mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 avril » à 46%, suivi de « 31 mars » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 46¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Les États-Unis annoncent un soutien militaire aux Kurdes en Iran d'ici le 31 mars ? » a généré $472.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Les États-Unis annoncent un soutien militaire aux Kurdes en Iran d'ici le 31 mars ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Les États-Unis annoncent un soutien militaire aux Kurdes en Iran d'ici le 31 mars ? » est « 30 avril » à 46%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 mars » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Les États-Unis annoncent un soutien militaire aux Kurdes en Iran d'ici le 31 mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.